Amazon shares closed at $258.63 on August 21 amid intraday volatility, consolidating below July peaks near $287 after a post-Q2 earnings surge driven by 37% AWS revenue growth to $42.2 billion and a $220 billion 2026 capex plan. Traders are weighing sustained AI demand signals—including a $496 billion backlog and custom silicon run rates above $25 billion—against margin pressure from fulfillment costs and negative trailing free cash flow. Recent data center expansions and Prime Video investments provided limited upside, with analyst consensus targets near $327 reflecting optimism tempered by execution risks heading into the August 28 close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$230
94%
$235
94%
$240
93%
$245
91%
$250
82%
$255
71%
$260
51%
$265
32%
$270
17%
$275
9%
$280
10%
$285
7%
$290
6%
$0.00 Vol.
$230
94%
$235
94%
$240
93%
$245
91%
$250
82%
$255
71%
$260
51%
$265
32%
$270
17%
$275
9%
$280
10%
$285
7%
$290
6%
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Amazon shares closed at $258.63 on August 21 amid intraday volatility, consolidating below July peaks near $287 after a post-Q2 earnings surge driven by 37% AWS revenue growth to $42.2 billion and a $220 billion 2026 capex plan. Traders are weighing sustained AI demand signals—including a $496 billion backlog and custom silicon run rates above $25 billion—against margin pressure from fulfillment costs and negative trailing free cash flow. Recent data center expansions and Prime Video investments provided limited upside, with analyst consensus targets near $327 reflecting optimism tempered by execution risks heading into the August 28 close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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