Apple shares have traded in the $310–$320 range in late August 2026 following fiscal Q3 results that delivered a 16% revenue beat to $109.4 billion and EPS of $2.02, driven by 22% iPhone growth and record Mac sales, yet tempered by softer services figures and cautious September-quarter guidance of 9–11% growth amid memory-cost pressures and advanced-node supply constraints. The stock’s implied probability for closing above any given strike on September 1 reflects these margin headwinds alongside the simultaneous CEO transition from Tim Cook to John Ternus, which coincides exactly with the market’s resolution. Recent sessions show modest volatility around the $314–$320 area, with traders weighing robust installed-base momentum and AI feature rollouts against near-term production bottlenecks and historical precedent for leadership handoffs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Sep 1, 2026
$310
85%
$315
65%
$320
20%
$325
7%
$330
12%
$0.00 Vol.
$310
$0 Vol.
85%
$315
$0 Vol.
65%
$320
$0 Vol.
20%
$325
$0 Vol.
7%
$330
$0 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on September 1, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Apple (AAPL) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.Apple shares have traded in the $310–$320 range in late August 2026 following fiscal Q3 results that delivered a 16% revenue beat to $109.4 billion and EPS of $2.02, driven by 22% iPhone growth and record Mac sales, yet tempered by softer services figures and cautious September-quarter guidance of 9–11% growth amid memory-cost pressures and advanced-node supply constraints. The stock’s implied probability for closing above any given strike on September 1 reflects these margin headwinds alongside the simultaneous CEO transition from Tim Cook to John Ternus, which coincides exactly with the market’s resolution. Recent sessions show modest volatility around the $314–$320 area, with traders weighing robust installed-base momentum and AI feature rollouts against near-term production bottlenecks and historical precedent for leadership handoffs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on September 1, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Apple (AAPL) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Apple (AAPL) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 8:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on September 1, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Apple (AAPL) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.Apple shares have traded in the $310–$320 range in late August 2026 following fiscal Q3 results that delivered a 16% revenue beat to $109.4 billion and EPS of $2.02, driven by 22% iPhone growth and record Mac sales, yet tempered by softer services figures and cautious September-quarter guidance of 9–11% growth amid memory-cost pressures and advanced-node supply constraints. The stock’s implied probability for closing above any given strike on September 1 reflects these margin headwinds alongside the simultaneous CEO transition from Tim Cook to John Ternus, which coincides exactly with the market’s resolution. Recent sessions show modest volatility around the $314–$320 area, with traders weighing robust installed-base momentum and AI feature rollouts against near-term production bottlenecks and historical precedent for leadership handoffs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on September 1, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Apple (AAPL) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Apple (AAPL) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 8:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple shares have traded in the $310–$320 range in late August 2026 following fiscal Q3 results that delivered a 16% revenue beat to $109.4 billion and EPS of $2.02, driven by 22% iPhone growth and record Mac sales, yet tempered by softer services figures and cautious September-quarter guidance of 9–11% growth amid memory-cost pressures and advanced-node supply constraints. The stock’s implied probability for closing above any given strike on September 1 reflects these margin headwinds alongside the simultaneous CEO transition from Tim Cook to John Ternus, which coincides exactly with the market’s resolution. Recent sessions show modest volatility around the $314–$320 area, with traders weighing robust installed-base momentum and AI feature rollouts against near-term production bottlenecks and historical precedent for leadership handoffs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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