Scottie Scheffler's entry as the clear favorite at the 2026 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities shapes the market, with the World No. 1 arriving off a strong fourth-place finish at The Open Championship and seeking his second victory of the season on a course that rewards consistent ball-striking and approach play. Defending champion Kurt Kitayama returns seeking a repeat after his dominant 2025 performance, while contenders like Maverick McNealy and Hideki Matsuyama add depth to a field where recent form, TPC Twin Cities scoring averages, and FedEx Cup positioning influence outcomes. The event's timing in mid-July, combined with potential Minnesota weather variables and the strength of the top of the leaderboard, creates a compressed range for top-20 finishes among mid-tier players with solid recent results or course history. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics through implied probabilities tied to verifiable performance trends rather than speculation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$84,031 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
Yes
Kurt Kitayama
No
Maverick McNealy
No
Hideki Matsuyama
Yes
Keith Mitchell
No
Jackson Koivun
Yes
Thorbjorn Olesen
No
Andrew Putnam
No
Rico Hoey
No
Adam Hadwin
No
Jimmy Stanger
No
Jake Knapp
Yes
Tom Kim
Yes
Pierceson Coody
No
Brian Harman
Yes
Ben Kohles
Yes
Beau Hossler
No
Preston Stout
No
Max McGreevy
No
Lucas Glover
No
Hao-Tong Li
No
Jackson Suber
No
Max Homa
No
Corey Conners
No
Gary Woodland
Yes
Jordan L. Smith
No
Doug Ghim
No
Sung-Jae Im
No
Benjamin James
No
Sam Stevens
No
Tony Finau
No
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
No
Johnny Keefer
No
Mac Meissner
No
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
Yes
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
Yes
Michael Brennan
No
Jason Day
No
Max Greyserman
No
Davis Thompson
Yes
William Mouw
No
Aldrich Potgieter
No
Stephan Jaeger
No
Michael Kim
Yes
Taylor Pendrith
No
Kevin Yu
Yes
Casey Jarvis
No
Ricky Castillo
No
Steven Fisk
No
Emiliano Grillo
Yes
Mackenzie Hughes
No
John Parry
No
Taylor Moore
No
Zach Bauchou
No
Lee Hodges
Yes
Keita Nakajima
No
Jesper Svensson
No
Billy Horschel
Yes
Ze-Cheng Dou
Yes
Denny McCarthy
Yes
Patrick Rodgers
No
Seamus Power
Yes
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
No
Matt Kuchar
No
Zac Blair
Yes
Ryder Cowan
No
Patrick Fishburn
Yes
Takumi Kanaya
No
Chris Kirk
No
Austin Smotherman
No
A.J. Ewart
No
Kristoffer Ventura
No
Garrick Higgo
No
Austin Eckroat
No
Gordon Sargent
No
Tom Hoge
No
Chad Ramey
No
Erik Van Rooyen
No
Matthieu Pavon
No
Pontus Nyholm
No
Kevin Roy
No
Nick Dunlap
No
Karl Vilips
No
Neal Shipley
No
Luke Clanton
No
Joel Dahmen
No
David Skinns
No
Brandt Snedeker
No
Hayden Springer
No
Trace Crowe
No
David Lipsky
No
Aaron Wise
No
S.Y. Noh
No
Harry Higgs
No
Mark Hubbard
No
Luke List
No
Cameron Champ
No
Vince Whaley
No
Chandler Phillips
Yes
Lanto Griffin
No
$84,031 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
Yes
Kurt Kitayama
No
Maverick McNealy
No
Hideki Matsuyama
Yes
Keith Mitchell
No
Jackson Koivun
Yes
Thorbjorn Olesen
No
Andrew Putnam
No
Rico Hoey
No
Adam Hadwin
No
Jimmy Stanger
No
Jake Knapp
Yes
Tom Kim
Yes
Pierceson Coody
No
Brian Harman
Yes
Ben Kohles
Yes
Beau Hossler
No
Preston Stout
No
Max McGreevy
No
Lucas Glover
No
Hao-Tong Li
No
Jackson Suber
No
Max Homa
No
Corey Conners
No
Gary Woodland
Yes
Jordan L. Smith
No
Doug Ghim
No
Sung-Jae Im
No
Benjamin James
No
Sam Stevens
No
Tony Finau
No
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
No
Johnny Keefer
No
Mac Meissner
No
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
Yes
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
Yes
Michael Brennan
No
Jason Day
No
Max Greyserman
No
Davis Thompson
Yes
William Mouw
No
Aldrich Potgieter
No
Stephan Jaeger
No
Michael Kim
Yes
Taylor Pendrith
No
Kevin Yu
Yes
Casey Jarvis
No
Ricky Castillo
No
Steven Fisk
No
Emiliano Grillo
Yes
Mackenzie Hughes
No
John Parry
No
Taylor Moore
No
Zach Bauchou
No
Lee Hodges
Yes
Keita Nakajima
No
Jesper Svensson
No
Billy Horschel
Yes
Ze-Cheng Dou
Yes
Denny McCarthy
Yes
Patrick Rodgers
No
Seamus Power
Yes
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
No
Matt Kuchar
No
Zac Blair
Yes
Ryder Cowan
No
Patrick Fishburn
Yes
Takumi Kanaya
No
Chris Kirk
No
Austin Smotherman
No
A.J. Ewart
No
Kristoffer Ventura
No
Garrick Higgo
No
Austin Eckroat
No
Gordon Sargent
No
Tom Hoge
No
Chad Ramey
No
Erik Van Rooyen
No
Matthieu Pavon
No
Pontus Nyholm
No
Kevin Roy
No
Nick Dunlap
No
Karl Vilips
No
Neal Shipley
No
Luke Clanton
No
Joel Dahmen
No
David Skinns
No
Brandt Snedeker
No
Hayden Springer
No
Trace Crowe
No
David Lipsky
No
Aaron Wise
No
S.Y. Noh
No
Harry Higgs
No
Mark Hubbard
No
Luke List
No
Cameron Champ
No
Vince Whaley
No
Chandler Phillips
Yes
Lanto Griffin
No
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Scottie Scheffler's entry as the clear favorite at the 2026 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities shapes the market, with the World No. 1 arriving off a strong fourth-place finish at The Open Championship and seeking his second victory of the season on a course that rewards consistent ball-striking and approach play. Defending champion Kurt Kitayama returns seeking a repeat after his dominant 2025 performance, while contenders like Maverick McNealy and Hideki Matsuyama add depth to a field where recent form, TPC Twin Cities scoring averages, and FedEx Cup positioning influence outcomes. The event's timing in mid-July, combined with potential Minnesota weather variables and the strength of the top of the leaderboard, creates a compressed range for top-20 finishes among mid-tier players with solid recent results or course history. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics through implied probabilities tied to verifiable performance trends rather than speculation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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