Tom Aspinall holds the leading 57% implied probability in this UFC heavyweight futures market as the current champion, though an eye injury requiring surgery has kept him sidelined since late 2025 with a potential 2026 return targeted for September. Ciryl Gane sits at 30% on the strength of recent victories, including a TKO over Alex Pereira, positioning him as the top active contender in a division marked by limited depth. Longer-term factors include Aspinall’s established ranking and experience versus the realistic chance of injuries, roster shifts, or rising challengers like Alexander Volkov or Josh Hokit altering the title picture before year-end. Trader consensus reflects these recovery timelines and recent form while acknowledging the inherent volatility of heavyweight outcomes over an extended period.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTom Aspinall 56%
Ciryl Gane 30%
Josh Hokit 2.6%
Alexander Volkov 2.1%
$333,043 Vol.
$333,043 Vol.
Tom Aspinall
56%
Ciryl Gane
30%
Josh Hokit
3%
Alexander Volkov
2%
Sergei Pavlovich
1%
Serghei Spivac
1%
Curtis Blaydes
1%
Derrick Lewis
<1%
Tyrell Fortune
<1%
Jailton Almeida
<1%
Rizvan Kuniev
<1%
Waldo Cortes Acosta
<1%
Ante Delija
<1%
Marcin Tybura
<1%
Tom Aspinall 56%
Ciryl Gane 30%
Josh Hokit 2.6%
Alexander Volkov 2.1%
$333,043 Vol.
$333,043 Vol.
Tom Aspinall
56%
Ciryl Gane
30%
Josh Hokit
3%
Alexander Volkov
2%
Sergei Pavlovich
1%
Serghei Spivac
1%
Curtis Blaydes
1%
Derrick Lewis
<1%
Tyrell Fortune
<1%
Jailton Almeida
<1%
Rizvan Kuniev
<1%
Waldo Cortes Acosta
<1%
Ante Delija
<1%
Marcin Tybura
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Mercado abierto: Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Aspinall holds the leading 57% implied probability in this UFC heavyweight futures market as the current champion, though an eye injury requiring surgery has kept him sidelined since late 2025 with a potential 2026 return targeted for September. Ciryl Gane sits at 30% on the strength of recent victories, including a TKO over Alex Pereira, positioning him as the top active contender in a division marked by limited depth. Longer-term factors include Aspinall’s established ranking and experience versus the realistic chance of injuries, roster shifts, or rising challengers like Alexander Volkov or Josh Hokit altering the title picture before year-end. Trader consensus reflects these recovery timelines and recent form while acknowledging the inherent volatility of heavyweight outcomes over an extended period.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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