Justin Gaethje holds an overwhelming market edge as the current undisputed UFC lightweight champion following his fourth-round TKO upset of Ilia Topuria in June 2026. The 37-year-old earned the belt via interim title win over Paddy Pimblett earlier in the year and now sits atop official rankings with strong recent form against elite competition. With Gaethje unlikely to defend again before year-end, traders see minimal near-term opportunity for shifts. Contenders such as Arman Tsarukyan, Charles Oliveira, and Topuria would require an improbable late-2026 title shot and victory to unseat him, though age-related decline, injury, or an unexpected matchup loss remain the clearest paths for any change by December 31.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoJustin Gaethje 85.0%
Charles Oliveira 5.7%
Ilia Topuria 4.7%
Mauricio Ruffy 4.0%
$671,766 Vol.
$671,766 Vol.
Ilia Topuria
5%
Arman Tsarukyan
6%
Charles Oliveira
6%
Max Holloway
<1%
Justin Gaethje
85%
Paddy Pimblett
2%
Dan Hooker
<1%
Mateusz Gamrot
<1%
Benoît Saint Denis
<1%
Rafael Fiziev
<1%
Renato Moicano
<1%
Mauricio Ruffy
4%
Justin Gaethje 85.0%
Charles Oliveira 5.7%
Ilia Topuria 4.7%
Mauricio Ruffy 4.0%
$671,766 Vol.
$671,766 Vol.
Ilia Topuria
5%
Arman Tsarukyan
6%
Charles Oliveira
6%
Max Holloway
<1%
Justin Gaethje
85%
Paddy Pimblett
2%
Dan Hooker
<1%
Mateusz Gamrot
<1%
Benoît Saint Denis
<1%
Rafael Fiziev
<1%
Renato Moicano
<1%
Mauricio Ruffy
4%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Mercado abierto: Jan 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Justin Gaethje holds an overwhelming market edge as the current undisputed UFC lightweight champion following his fourth-round TKO upset of Ilia Topuria in June 2026. The 37-year-old earned the belt via interim title win over Paddy Pimblett earlier in the year and now sits atop official rankings with strong recent form against elite competition. With Gaethje unlikely to defend again before year-end, traders see minimal near-term opportunity for shifts. Contenders such as Arman Tsarukyan, Charles Oliveira, and Topuria would require an improbable late-2026 title shot and victory to unseat him, though age-related decline, injury, or an unexpected matchup loss remain the clearest paths for any change by December 31.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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