Democratic incumbent Henry Cuellar secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 58% of the vote and now faces Republican nominee Tano Tijerina in the November general election for Texas's 28th congressional district. Cuellar's long tenure since 2004, combined with the district's Democratic-leaning voter base in areas such as Webb County, underpins the market's assignment of an 82% implied probability to the Democratic Party. The Republican nominee's primary win positions a general-election challenge, yet the district's historical results and Cuellar's incumbency advantage have kept trader consensus heavily weighted toward continued Democratic control. No major developments have altered this positioning in the months since the primaries.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-28
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-28
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
82%
Partido Republicano
18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$2,266 Vol.
82%
Partido Republicano
$2,330 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Henry Cuellar secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 58% of the vote and now faces Republican nominee Tano Tijerina in the November general election for Texas's 28th congressional district. Cuellar's long tenure since 2004, combined with the district's Democratic-leaning voter base in areas such as Webb County, underpins the market's assignment of an 82% implied probability to the Democratic Party. The Republican nominee's primary win positions a general-election challenge, yet the district's historical results and Cuellar's incumbency advantage have kept trader consensus heavily weighted toward continued Democratic control. No major developments have altered this positioning in the months since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Volumen
$4,597Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Henry Cuellar secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 58% of the vote and now faces Republican nominee Tano Tijerina in the November general election for Texas's 28th congressional district. Cuellar's long tenure since 2004, combined with the district's Democratic-leaning voter base in areas such as Webb County, underpins the market's assignment of an 82% implied probability to the Democratic Party. The Republican nominee's primary win positions a general-election challenge, yet the district's historical results and Cuellar's incumbency advantage have kept trader consensus heavily weighted toward continued Democratic control. No major developments have altered this positioning in the months since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$4,597Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Henry Cuellar secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 58% of the vote and now faces Republican nominee Tano Tijerina in the November general election for Texas's 28th congressional district. Cuellar's long tenure since 2004, combined with the district's Democratic-leaning voter base in areas such as Webb County, underpins the market's assignment of an 82% implied probability to the Democratic Party. The Republican nominee's primary win positions a general-election challenge, yet the district's historical results and Cuellar's incumbency advantage have kept trader consensus heavily weighted toward continued Democratic control. No major developments have altered this positioning in the months since the primaries.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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