Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening weekend has anchored trader consensus around a 140-150 million second frame at 93% implied probability. Strong word-of-mouth, added IMAX and PLF screens, and a 60% hold from its massive debut are fueling projections near $143-144 million according to Sony and major trackers, positioning the film for the third-highest sophomore session ever behind only Force Awakens and Endgame. Limited counterprogramming from The Odyssey and minimal audience fatigue support the momentum, though an unexpected steep drop below 55% or sudden competition surge could still produce an upset. The market resolves after this weekend’s final tallies.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTaquilla del segundo fin de semana de "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" (Lower Strikes)
Taquilla del segundo fin de semana de "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" (Lower Strikes)
140-150 millones 93%
150-160 millones 6%
130-140 millones 1.3%
<130m <1%
$111,443 Vol.
$111,443 Vol.
9 ago 2026
<130m
<1%
130-140 millones
1%
140-150 millones
93%
150-160 millones
6%
160-170 millones
<1%
170-180 millones
<1%
180 millones+
<1%
140-150 millones 93%
150-160 millones 6%
130-140 millones 1.3%
<130m <1%
$111,443 Vol.
$111,443 Vol.
9 ago 2026
<130m
$5,002 Vol.
<1%
130-140 millones
$14,864 Vol.
1%
140-150 millones
$22,107 Vol.
93%
150-160 millones
$26,898 Vol.
6%
160-170 millones
$24,259 Vol.
<1%
170-180 millones
$13,390 Vol.
<1%
180 millones+
$4,922 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening weekend has anchored trader consensus around a 140-150 million second frame at 93% implied probability. Strong word-of-mouth, added IMAX and PLF screens, and a 60% hold from its massive debut are fueling projections near $143-144 million according to Sony and major trackers, positioning the film for the third-highest sophomore session ever behind only Force Awakens and Endgame. Limited counterprogramming from The Odyssey and minimal audience fatigue support the momentum, though an unexpected steep drop below 55% or sudden competition surge could still produce an upset. The market resolves after this weekend’s final tallies.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ET
Volumen
$111,443Fecha de finalización
9 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening weekend has anchored trader consensus around a 140-150 million second frame at 93% implied probability. Strong word-of-mouth, added IMAX and PLF screens, and a 60% hold from its massive debut are fueling projections near $143-144 million according to Sony and major trackers, positioning the film for the third-highest sophomore session ever behind only Force Awakens and Endgame. Limited counterprogramming from The Odyssey and minimal audience fatigue support the momentum, though an unexpected steep drop below 55% or sudden competition surge could still produce an upset. The market resolves after this weekend’s final tallies.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$111,443Fecha de finalización
9 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record $360 million domestic opening weekend has anchored trader consensus around a 140-150 million second frame at 93% implied probability. Strong word-of-mouth, added IMAX and PLF screens, and a 60% hold from its massive debut are fueling projections near $143-144 million according to Sony and major trackers, positioning the film for the third-highest sophomore session ever behind only Force Awakens and Endgame. Limited counterprogramming from The Odyssey and minimal audience fatigue support the momentum, though an unexpected steep drop below 55% or sudden competition surge could still produce an upset. The market resolves after this weekend’s final tallies.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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