The Supreme Court’s June 30, 2026, 6-3 decision in Trump v. Barbara firmly upheld broad birthright citizenship under the 14th Amendment, rejecting President Trump’s initial executive order. Trump publicly discussed seeking rehearing but did not file a petition before the deadline passed in late July. The Court almost never grants rehearings on recently decided cases, particularly those resolving core constitutional questions after full briefing and argument. Subsequent August 2026 executive orders attempting narrower restrictions have triggered fresh district-court litigation and a temporary injunction, but these involve separate challenges rather than reopening the original ruling. With no pending petition, limited remaining time before year-end, and institutional barriers to revisiting the June judgment, traders assign only a 5% chance that SCOTUS will grant rehearing by December 31.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
5% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
Sí
5% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Supreme Court’s June 30, 2026, 6-3 decision in Trump v. Barbara firmly upheld broad birthright citizenship under the 14th Amendment, rejecting President Trump’s initial executive order. Trump publicly discussed seeking rehearing but did not file a petition before the deadline passed in late July. The Court almost never grants rehearings on recently decided cases, particularly those resolving core constitutional questions after full briefing and argument. Subsequent August 2026 executive orders attempting narrower restrictions have triggered fresh district-court litigation and a temporary injunction, but these involve separate challenges rather than reopening the original ruling. With no pending petition, limited remaining time before year-end, and institutional barriers to revisiting the June judgment, traders assign only a 5% chance that SCOTUS will grant rehearing by December 31.
The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ET
Volumen
$1,771Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jul 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Supreme Court’s June 30, 2026, 6-3 decision in Trump v. Barbara firmly upheld broad birthright citizenship under the 14th Amendment, rejecting President Trump’s initial executive order. Trump publicly discussed seeking rehearing but did not file a petition before the deadline passed in late July. The Court almost never grants rehearings on recently decided cases, particularly those resolving core constitutional questions after full briefing and argument. Subsequent August 2026 executive orders attempting narrower restrictions have triggered fresh district-court litigation and a temporary injunction, but these involve separate challenges rather than reopening the original ruling. With no pending petition, limited remaining time before year-end, and institutional barriers to revisiting the June judgment, traders assign only a 5% chance that SCOTUS will grant rehearing by December 31.
The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,771Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jul 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Supreme Court’s June 30, 2026, 6-3 decision in Trump v. Barbara firmly upheld broad birthright citizenship under the 14th Amendment, rejecting President Trump’s initial executive order. Trump publicly discussed seeking rehearing but did not file a petition before the deadline passed in late July. The Court almost never grants rehearings on recently decided cases, particularly those resolving core constitutional questions after full briefing and argument. Subsequent August 2026 executive orders attempting narrower restrictions have triggered fresh district-court litigation and a temporary injunction, but these involve separate challenges rather than reopening the original ruling. With no pending petition, limited remaining time before year-end, and institutional barriers to revisiting the June judgment, traders assign only a 5% chance that SCOTUS will grant rehearing by December 31.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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