Recent polling aggregates indicate the Parti Québécois maintains a narrow lead heading into the October 5 election, leaving the race for second place highly competitive among the Parti libéral du Québec, Coalition Avenir Québec, and others. The PLQ has shown modest gains in the past week amid CAQ momentum loss, positioning Liberals to potentially claim official opposition status in seat projections. Leaders’ debates, including the September 15 TVA event and the upcoming Noovo debate, along with voter priorities on the economy, U.S. trade pressures, and sovereignty concerns, continue to shape regional support patterns. Trader consensus reflects this fluidity, with limited separation among mid-tier contenders until final vote counts clarify outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPLQ 57%
CAQ 43%
PQ 2.2%
QS <1%
$25,802 Vol.
$25,802 Vol.
4 oct 2026
PLQ
54%
CAQ
43%
PQ
8%
QS
<1%
PCQ
<1%
PVQ
<1%
PLQ 57%
CAQ 43%
PQ 2.2%
QS <1%
$25,802 Vol.
$25,802 Vol.
4 oct 2026
PLQ
$7,114 Vol.
54%
CAQ
$8,511 Vol.
43%
PQ
$6,063 Vol.
8%
QS
$1,688 Vol.
<1%
PCQ
$1,027 Vol.
<1%
PVQ
$1,399 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates indicate the Parti Québécois maintains a narrow lead heading into the October 5 election, leaving the race for second place highly competitive among the Parti libéral du Québec, Coalition Avenir Québec, and others. The PLQ has shown modest gains in the past week amid CAQ momentum loss, positioning Liberals to potentially claim official opposition status in seat projections. Leaders’ debates, including the September 15 TVA event and the upcoming Noovo debate, along with voter priorities on the economy, U.S. trade pressures, and sovereignty concerns, continue to shape regional support patterns. Trader consensus reflects this fluidity, with limited separation among mid-tier contenders until final vote counts clarify outcomes.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Mercado abierto: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Volumen
$25,802Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates indicate the Parti Québécois maintains a narrow lead heading into the October 5 election, leaving the race for second place highly competitive among the Parti libéral du Québec, Coalition Avenir Québec, and others. The PLQ has shown modest gains in the past week amid CAQ momentum loss, positioning Liberals to potentially claim official opposition status in seat projections. Leaders’ debates, including the September 15 TVA event and the upcoming Noovo debate, along with voter priorities on the economy, U.S. trade pressures, and sovereignty concerns, continue to shape regional support patterns. Trader consensus reflects this fluidity, with limited separation among mid-tier contenders until final vote counts clarify outcomes.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volumen
$25,802Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates indicate the Parti Québécois maintains a narrow lead heading into the October 5 election, leaving the race for second place highly competitive among the Parti libéral du Québec, Coalition Avenir Québec, and others. The PLQ has shown modest gains in the past week amid CAQ momentum loss, positioning Liberals to potentially claim official opposition status in seat projections. Leaders’ debates, including the September 15 TVA event and the upcoming Noovo debate, along with voter priorities on the economy, U.S. trade pressures, and sovereignty concerns, continue to shape regional support patterns. Trader consensus reflects this fluidity, with limited separation among mid-tier contenders until final vote counts clarify outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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