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icon for Ganador de la primaria demócrata MI-01

Ganador de la primaria demócrata MI-01

icon for Ganador de la primaria demócrata MI-01

Ganador de la primaria demócrata MI-01

Callie Barr 77%

Kyle Blomquist 24%

Wayne Stiles <1%

Polymarket

$20,605 Vol.

Callie Barr 77%

Kyle Blomquist 24%

Wayne Stiles <1%

Polymarket

$20,605 Vol.

icon for Callie Barr

Callie Barr

$11,284 Vol.

77%

icon for Kyle Blomquist

Kyle Blomquist

$8,405 Vol.

24%

icon for Wayne Stiles

Wayne Stiles

$915 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Democratic primary for Michigan’s 1st Congressional District on August 4 features Callie Barr, Kyle Blomquist, and Wayne Stiles in a closely contested race that has produced no clear frontrunner. Barr, the 2024 nominee who leads in fundraising and holds endorsements from local officials including the Marquette County Sheriff, has conducted recent town halls focused on affordability issues, yet has drawn internal party criticism for declining multiple candidate forums. Blomquist, an Iron Mountain city councilor and self-described Democratic Socialist emphasizing working-class priorities, and Stiles, a Traverse City industrial designer, have participated in more public events while trailing significantly in cash raised. The large, rural district spanning the Upper Peninsula and northern Lower Peninsula, combined with limited polling and differing ideological profiles among the candidates, has kept trader consensus tightly balanced around even odds across the field. The August primary date leaves limited time for late developments such as additional endorsements, spending surges, or turnout shifts in key counties to create separation.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$20,605
Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 6, 2026, 4:35 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Democratic primary for Michigan’s 1st Congressional District on August 4 features Callie Barr, Kyle Blomquist, and Wayne Stiles in a closely contested race that has produced no clear frontrunner. Barr, the 2024 nominee who leads in fundraising and holds endorsements from local officials including the Marquette County Sheriff, has conducted recent town halls focused on affordability issues, yet has drawn internal party criticism for declining multiple candidate forums. Blomquist, an Iron Mountain city councilor and self-described Democratic Socialist emphasizing working-class priorities, and Stiles, a Traverse City industrial designer, have participated in more public events while trailing significantly in cash raised. The large, rural district spanning the Upper Peninsula and northern Lower Peninsula, combined with limited polling and differing ideological profiles among the candidates, has kept trader consensus tightly balanced around even odds across the field. The August primary date leaves limited time for late developments such as additional endorsements, spending surges, or turnout shifts in key counties to create separation.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$20,605
Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 6, 2026, 4:35 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de la primaria demócrata MI-01" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Callie Barr" con 77%, seguido de "Kyle Blomquist" con 24%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 77¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 77% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de la primaria demócrata MI-01" ha generado $20.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 6, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de la primaria demócrata MI-01", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de la primaria demócrata MI-01" es "Callie Barr" con 77%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 77% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Kyle Blomquist" con 24%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de la primaria demócrata MI-01" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.