Recent model guidance and Météo-France updates highlight a cooler air mass advecting into northern France, driving the cooldown on August 6–7 after warmer conditions earlier in the period. Clear or partly cloudy skies overnight promote radiative cooling, with light winds reducing mixing and allowing surface temperatures to drop more efficiently. Official forecasts currently point to overnight lows near 14–17 °C, yet traders have priced in greater cooling, centering implied probabilities on 11–13 °C. This reflects uncertainty in exact boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island moderation within Paris, where concrete and vegetation can blunt the lowest readings relative to rural sites. Updated ensemble runs expected before market resolution could shift these odds if nocturnal cooling exceeds current projections.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 7 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 7 de agosto?
12°C 45%
13°C 20%
11°C 18%
14°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 ago 2026
9°C o menos
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
18%
12°C
45%
13°C
20%
14°C
10%
15°C
9%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C o más
<1%
12°C 45%
13°C 20%
11°C 18%
14°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 ago 2026
9°C o menos
$244 Vol.
1%
10°C
$163 Vol.
1%
11°C
$189 Vol.
18%
12°C
$452 Vol.
45%
13°C
$290 Vol.
20%
14°C
$116 Vol.
10%
15°C
$816 Vol.
9%
16°C
$1,462 Vol.
1%
17°C
$1,141 Vol.
1%
18°C
$1,205 Vol.
1%
19°C o más
$1,088 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance and Météo-France updates highlight a cooler air mass advecting into northern France, driving the cooldown on August 6–7 after warmer conditions earlier in the period. Clear or partly cloudy skies overnight promote radiative cooling, with light winds reducing mixing and allowing surface temperatures to drop more efficiently. Official forecasts currently point to overnight lows near 14–17 °C, yet traders have priced in greater cooling, centering implied probabilities on 11–13 °C. This reflects uncertainty in exact boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island moderation within Paris, where concrete and vegetation can blunt the lowest readings relative to rural sites. Updated ensemble runs expected before market resolution could shift these odds if nocturnal cooling exceeds current projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$7,166Fecha de finalización
7 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance and Météo-France updates highlight a cooler air mass advecting into northern France, driving the cooldown on August 6–7 after warmer conditions earlier in the period. Clear or partly cloudy skies overnight promote radiative cooling, with light winds reducing mixing and allowing surface temperatures to drop more efficiently. Official forecasts currently point to overnight lows near 14–17 °C, yet traders have priced in greater cooling, centering implied probabilities on 11–13 °C. This reflects uncertainty in exact boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island moderation within Paris, where concrete and vegetation can blunt the lowest readings relative to rural sites. Updated ensemble runs expected before market resolution could shift these odds if nocturnal cooling exceeds current projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,166Fecha de finalización
7 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model guidance and Météo-France updates highlight a cooler air mass advecting into northern France, driving the cooldown on August 6–7 after warmer conditions earlier in the period. Clear or partly cloudy skies overnight promote radiative cooling, with light winds reducing mixing and allowing surface temperatures to drop more efficiently. Official forecasts currently point to overnight lows near 14–17 °C, yet traders have priced in greater cooling, centering implied probabilities on 11–13 °C. This reflects uncertainty in exact boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island moderation within Paris, where concrete and vegetation can blunt the lowest readings relative to rural sites. Updated ensemble runs expected before market resolution could shift these odds if nocturnal cooling exceeds current projections.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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