Current ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and DWD project a minimum temperature near 10–12°C in Munich on September 12 under clear to partly cloudy skies, favoring radiative cooling overnight but limited by mild daytime highs near 22–23°C and light westerly winds. Trader sentiment splits evenly between sub-4°C and 14°C-plus outcomes because short-range guidance remains sensitive to small shifts in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, or any late-arriving cooler air mass that could enhance nocturnal temperature drops. Historical September lows average 10.5°C with a record low of 2.6°C, underscoring that while the baseline favors the middle of the distribution, updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours could rapidly alter implied probabilities for the exact daily minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Múnich el 12 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Múnich el 12 de septiembre?
4°C o menos 95%
14°C o más 95%
6°C 39%
7°C 39%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 sep 2026
4°C o menos
95%
5°C
35%
6°C
39%
7°C
39%
8°C
16%
9°C
14%
10°C
15%
11°C
20%
12°C
19%
13°C
15%
14°C o más
95%
4°C o menos 95%
14°C o más 95%
6°C 39%
7°C 39%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 sep 2026
4°C o menos
$0 Vol.
95%
5°C
$0 Vol.
35%
6°C
$0 Vol.
39%
7°C
$0 Vol.
39%
8°C
$0 Vol.
16%
9°C
$0 Vol.
14%
10°C
$0 Vol.
15%
11°C
$40 Vol.
20%
12°C
$0 Vol.
19%
13°C
$0 Vol.
15%
14°C o más
$0 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and DWD project a minimum temperature near 10–12°C in Munich on September 12 under clear to partly cloudy skies, favoring radiative cooling overnight but limited by mild daytime highs near 22–23°C and light westerly winds. Trader sentiment splits evenly between sub-4°C and 14°C-plus outcomes because short-range guidance remains sensitive to small shifts in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, or any late-arriving cooler air mass that could enhance nocturnal temperature drops. Historical September lows average 10.5°C with a record low of 2.6°C, underscoring that while the baseline favors the middle of the distribution, updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours could rapidly alter implied probabilities for the exact daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$40Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and DWD project a minimum temperature near 10–12°C in Munich on September 12 under clear to partly cloudy skies, favoring radiative cooling overnight but limited by mild daytime highs near 22–23°C and light westerly winds. Trader sentiment splits evenly between sub-4°C and 14°C-plus outcomes because short-range guidance remains sensitive to small shifts in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, or any late-arriving cooler air mass that could enhance nocturnal temperature drops. Historical September lows average 10.5°C with a record low of 2.6°C, underscoring that while the baseline favors the middle of the distribution, updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours could rapidly alter implied probabilities for the exact daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$40Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and DWD project a minimum temperature near 10–12°C in Munich on September 12 under clear to partly cloudy skies, favoring radiative cooling overnight but limited by mild daytime highs near 22–23°C and light westerly winds. Trader sentiment splits evenly between sub-4°C and 14°C-plus outcomes because short-range guidance remains sensitive to small shifts in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, or any late-arriving cooler air mass that could enhance nocturnal temperature drops. Historical September lows average 10.5°C with a record low of 2.6°C, underscoring that while the baseline favors the middle of the distribution, updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours could rapidly alter implied probabilities for the exact daily minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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