Recent forecast models from sources like the German Weather Service indicate Munich overnight lows near 13°C on September 1, aligning with the historical average minimum of 12.3°C and supporting elevated market-implied odds for 12–14°C outcomes. Partly cloudy conditions with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation expected limit further cooling, though model spread and potential for clearer skies overnight introduce uncertainty that sustains the 39% probability on 9°C or below. No major atmospheric shifts, such as strong high-pressure blocking or cold air advection, have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours, keeping trader consensus centered on near-normal early-autumn temperatures.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Múnich el 1 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Múnich el 1 de septiembre?
9°C or below 39%
12°C 30%
13°C 27%
14°C 27%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
9°C or below
39%
10°C
14%
11°C
26%
12°C
30%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
13%
16°C
2%
17°C
15%
18°C
8%
19°C or higher
7%
9°C or below 39%
12°C 30%
13°C 27%
14°C 27%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
9°C or below
$30 Vol.
39%
10°C
$0 Vol.
14%
11°C
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$0 Vol.
30%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
13%
16°C
$0 Vol.
2%
17°C
$5 Vol.
15%
18°C
$10 Vol.
8%
19°C or higher
$10 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the German Weather Service indicate Munich overnight lows near 13°C on September 1, aligning with the historical average minimum of 12.3°C and supporting elevated market-implied odds for 12–14°C outcomes. Partly cloudy conditions with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation expected limit further cooling, though model spread and potential for clearer skies overnight introduce uncertainty that sustains the 39% probability on 9°C or below. No major atmospheric shifts, such as strong high-pressure blocking or cold air advection, have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours, keeping trader consensus centered on near-normal early-autumn temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$55Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the German Weather Service indicate Munich overnight lows near 13°C on September 1, aligning with the historical average minimum of 12.3°C and supporting elevated market-implied odds for 12–14°C outcomes. Partly cloudy conditions with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation expected limit further cooling, though model spread and potential for clearer skies overnight introduce uncertainty that sustains the 39% probability on 9°C or below. No major atmospheric shifts, such as strong high-pressure blocking or cold air advection, have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours, keeping trader consensus centered on near-normal early-autumn temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$55Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like the German Weather Service indicate Munich overnight lows near 13°C on September 1, aligning with the historical average minimum of 12.3°C and supporting elevated market-implied odds for 12–14°C outcomes. Partly cloudy conditions with light westerly winds and minimal precipitation expected limit further cooling, though model spread and potential for clearer skies overnight introduce uncertainty that sustains the 39% probability on 9°C or below. No major atmospheric shifts, such as strong high-pressure blocking or cold air advection, have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours, keeping trader consensus centered on near-normal early-autumn temperatures.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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