Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center drive the 99% market-implied odds on a 6°C low for Moscow on September 13, projecting a nighttime minimum of exactly that value under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure around 750 mmHg. Multiple model runs align with this baseline, consistent with early-autumn climatology where clear conditions after sunset allow efficient radiative cooling to that threshold. Actual readings at official stations could deviate if localized cloud cover lingers longer, wind speeds increase, or urban heat-island effects alter the minimum; final resolution hinges on verified observations rather than pre-dawn models.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 13 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 13 de septiembre?
6°C 99%
2°C o menos <1%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
$3,475 Vol.
$3,475 Vol.
13 sep 2026
2°C o menos
1%
3°C
1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
99%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C o más
<1%
6°C 99%
2°C o menos <1%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
$3,475 Vol.
$3,475 Vol.
13 sep 2026
2°C o menos
$0 Vol.
1%
3°C
$65 Vol.
1%
4°C
$5 Vol.
1%
5°C
$125 Vol.
1%
6°C
$709 Vol.
99%
7°C
$232 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$217 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$133 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,975 Vol.
<1%
12°C o más
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center drive the 99% market-implied odds on a 6°C low for Moscow on September 13, projecting a nighttime minimum of exactly that value under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure around 750 mmHg. Multiple model runs align with this baseline, consistent with early-autumn climatology where clear conditions after sunset allow efficient radiative cooling to that threshold. Actual readings at official stations could deviate if localized cloud cover lingers longer, wind speeds increase, or urban heat-island effects alter the minimum; final resolution hinges on verified observations rather than pre-dawn models.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$3,475Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center drive the 99% market-implied odds on a 6°C low for Moscow on September 13, projecting a nighttime minimum of exactly that value under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure around 750 mmHg. Multiple model runs align with this baseline, consistent with early-autumn climatology where clear conditions after sunset allow efficient radiative cooling to that threshold. Actual readings at official stations could deviate if localized cloud cover lingers longer, wind speeds increase, or urban heat-island effects alter the minimum; final resolution hinges on verified observations rather than pre-dawn models.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,475Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center drive the 99% market-implied odds on a 6°C low for Moscow on September 13, projecting a nighttime minimum of exactly that value under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure around 750 mmHg. Multiple model runs align with this baseline, consistent with early-autumn climatology where clear conditions after sunset allow efficient radiative cooling to that threshold. Actual readings at official stations could deviate if localized cloud cover lingers longer, wind speeds increase, or urban heat-island effects alter the minimum; final resolution hinges on verified observations rather than pre-dawn models.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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