Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate a nighttime low of 9–11°C in Moscow on August 30 under variable cloud cover, light southerly winds, and modest precipitation chances, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average minimum of 11°C for the date. This consensus, reinforced by model runs showing limited radiational cooling due to cloudiness and advection of milder maritime air, underpins the market's strong 98% implied probability for 11°C. Official observations and ensemble guidance show low dispersion around this range, with historical records confirming extremes below 7°C occur only under rare clear, northerly flow conditions not currently indicated. Updated model outputs or unexpected clearing overnight represent the primary variables that could shift the realized minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 30 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Moscú el 30 de agosto?
11°C 98%
10°C 15.4%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$1,663 Vol.
$1,663 Vol.
30 ago 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
15%
11°C
98%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
11°C 98%
10°C 15.4%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$1,663 Vol.
$1,663 Vol.
30 ago 2026
5°C or below
$173 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$87 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$111 Vol.
15%
11°C
$499 Vol.
98%
12°C
$208 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
15°C or higher
$343 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate a nighttime low of 9–11°C in Moscow on August 30 under variable cloud cover, light southerly winds, and modest precipitation chances, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average minimum of 11°C for the date. This consensus, reinforced by model runs showing limited radiational cooling due to cloudiness and advection of milder maritime air, underpins the market's strong 98% implied probability for 11°C. Official observations and ensemble guidance show low dispersion around this range, with historical records confirming extremes below 7°C occur only under rare clear, northerly flow conditions not currently indicated. Updated model outputs or unexpected clearing overnight represent the primary variables that could shift the realized minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$1,663Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate a nighttime low of 9–11°C in Moscow on August 30 under variable cloud cover, light southerly winds, and modest precipitation chances, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average minimum of 11°C for the date. This consensus, reinforced by model runs showing limited radiational cooling due to cloudiness and advection of milder maritime air, underpins the market's strong 98% implied probability for 11°C. Official observations and ensemble guidance show low dispersion around this range, with historical records confirming extremes below 7°C occur only under rare clear, northerly flow conditions not currently indicated. Updated model outputs or unexpected clearing overnight represent the primary variables that could shift the realized minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,663Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate a nighttime low of 9–11°C in Moscow on August 30 under variable cloud cover, light southerly winds, and modest precipitation chances, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average minimum of 11°C for the date. This consensus, reinforced by model runs showing limited radiational cooling due to cloudiness and advection of milder maritime air, underpins the market's strong 98% implied probability for 11°C. Official observations and ensemble guidance show low dispersion around this range, with historical records confirming extremes below 7°C occur only under rare clear, northerly flow conditions not currently indicated. Updated model outputs or unexpected clearing overnight represent the primary variables that could shift the realized minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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