**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over northern Italy have produced mild overnight temperatures in Milan, positioning 17°C as the market favorite at 69% implied probability.** Multiple forecast models, including those from European and global sources, converge on a daily minimum near 18–20°C (roughly 64–68°F) for September 13, driven by light winds, high surface pressure around 1020–1022 hPa, and minimal cloud cover that permits moderate radiative cooling after sunset. Urban heat-island effects in the city center and the timing of the minimum (typically pre-dawn) add small uncertainty, keeping probabilities for 16°C or 18°C low but non-zero. No major frontal systems or precipitation are expected to alter the thermal profile before the day ends, and historical September climatology supports minima in this narrow band absent unusual advection. Traders appear to be weighting the tight model consensus and current observations heavily, with the market reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of the final official reading.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Milán el 13 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Milán el 13 de septiembre?
16°C 9%
12°C 7%
11°C o menos <1%
13°C <1%
$3,078 Vol.
$3,078 Vol.
13 sep 2026
11°C o menos
1%
12°C
7%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
9%
17°C
-
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C o más
<1%
16°C 9%
12°C 7%
11°C o menos <1%
13°C <1%
$3,078 Vol.
$3,078 Vol.
13 sep 2026
11°C o menos
$75 Vol.
1%
12°C
$30 Vol.
7%
13°C
$152 Vol.
1%
14°C
$150 Vol.
1%
15°C
$102 Vol.
1%
16°C
$151 Vol.
9%
17°C
$392 Vol.
-
18°C
$297 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,699 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
21°C o más
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over northern Italy have produced mild overnight temperatures in Milan, positioning 17°C as the market favorite at 69% implied probability.** Multiple forecast models, including those from European and global sources, converge on a daily minimum near 18–20°C (roughly 64–68°F) for September 13, driven by light winds, high surface pressure around 1020–1022 hPa, and minimal cloud cover that permits moderate radiative cooling after sunset.
Urban heat-island effects in the city center and the timing of the minimum (typically pre-dawn) add small uncertainty, keeping probabilities for 16°C or 18°C low but non-zero. No major frontal systems or precipitation are expected to alter the thermal profile before the day ends, and historical September climatology supports minima in this narrow band absent unusual advection. Traders appear to be weighting the tight model consensus and current observations heavily, with the market reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of the final official reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$3,078Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over northern Italy have produced mild overnight temperatures in Milan, positioning 17°C as the market favorite at 69% implied probability.** Multiple forecast models, including those from European and global sources, converge on a daily minimum near 18–20°C (roughly 64–68°F) for September 13, driven by light winds, high surface pressure around 1020–1022 hPa, and minimal cloud cover that permits moderate radiative cooling after sunset.
Urban heat-island effects in the city center and the timing of the minimum (typically pre-dawn) add small uncertainty, keeping probabilities for 16°C or 18°C low but non-zero. No major frontal systems or precipitation are expected to alter the thermal profile before the day ends, and historical September climatology supports minima in this narrow band absent unusual advection. Traders appear to be weighting the tight model consensus and current observations heavily, with the market reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of the final official reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,078Fecha de finalización
13 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over northern Italy have produced mild overnight temperatures in Milan, positioning 17°C as the market favorite at 69% implied probability.** Multiple forecast models, including those from European and global sources, converge on a daily minimum near 18–20°C (roughly 64–68°F) for September 13, driven by light winds, high surface pressure around 1020–1022 hPa, and minimal cloud cover that permits moderate radiative cooling after sunset. Urban heat-island effects in the city center and the timing of the minimum (typically pre-dawn) add small uncertainty, keeping probabilities for 16°C or 18°C low but non-zero. No major frontal systems or precipitation are expected to alter the thermal profile before the day ends, and historical September climatology supports minima in this narrow band absent unusual advection. Traders appear to be weighting the tight model consensus and current observations heavily, with the market reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of the final official reading.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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