Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid's overnight minimum on September 11 will likely reach 12–13°C under clear skies and light northerly flow, favoring radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–30°C. This aligns with the market's leading 64.5% implied probability on 11°C or below, as traders incorporate uncertainty around exact station readings and minor model spreads in boundary-layer temperatures. Stable high pressure and dry conditions suppress cloud cover that could otherwise moderate nocturnal drops, while historical September averages near 16°C underscore the current anomalously cool setup. Upcoming AEMET updates and final overnight observations will determine resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Madrid el 11 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más baja en Madrid el 11 de septiembre?
11°C o menos 73%
21°C o más 47%
14°C 37%
12°C 25%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 sep 2026
11°C o menos
66%
12°C
25%
13°C
14%
14°C
37%
15°C
14%
16°C
14%
17°C
14%
18°C
13%
19°C
13%
20°C
1%
21°C o más
47%
11°C o menos 73%
21°C o más 47%
14°C 37%
12°C 25%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 sep 2026
11°C o menos
$56 Vol.
66%
12°C
$12 Vol.
25%
13°C
$13 Vol.
14%
14°C
$0 Vol.
37%
15°C
$0 Vol.
14%
16°C
$0 Vol.
14%
17°C
$0 Vol.
14%
18°C
$0 Vol.
13%
19°C
$0 Vol.
13%
20°C
$25 Vol.
1%
21°C o más
$0 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid's overnight minimum on September 11 will likely reach 12–13°C under clear skies and light northerly flow, favoring radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–30°C. This aligns with the market's leading 64.5% implied probability on 11°C or below, as traders incorporate uncertainty around exact station readings and minor model spreads in boundary-layer temperatures. Stable high pressure and dry conditions suppress cloud cover that could otherwise moderate nocturnal drops, while historical September averages near 16°C underscore the current anomalously cool setup. Upcoming AEMET updates and final overnight observations will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$107Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid's overnight minimum on September 11 will likely reach 12–13°C under clear skies and light northerly flow, favoring radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–30°C. This aligns with the market's leading 64.5% implied probability on 11°C or below, as traders incorporate uncertainty around exact station readings and minor model spreads in boundary-layer temperatures. Stable high pressure and dry conditions suppress cloud cover that could otherwise moderate nocturnal drops, while historical September averages near 16°C underscore the current anomalously cool setup. Upcoming AEMET updates and final overnight observations will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$107Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid's overnight minimum on September 11 will likely reach 12–13°C under clear skies and light northerly flow, favoring radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–30°C. This aligns with the market's leading 64.5% implied probability on 11°C or below, as traders incorporate uncertainty around exact station readings and minor model spreads in boundary-layer temperatures. Stable high pressure and dry conditions suppress cloud cover that could otherwise moderate nocturnal drops, while historical September averages near 16°C underscore the current anomalously cool setup. Upcoming AEMET updates and final overnight observations will determine resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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