Traders see near-even odds across 25–28°C as the leading outcomes because short-term forecast models show high uncertainty for Karachi’s minimum temperature on September 1. The primary drivers are variable monsoon withdrawal timing, potential overnight cloud cover that reduces radiative cooling, and the strength of the sea breeze moderating land temperatures. Historical climatology places early-September lows near 26–27°C, but small shifts in humidity, wind speed, or a late coastal shower can easily move the reading by 2–3°C. Updated runs from regional models and Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Karachi el 1 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Karachi el 1 de septiembre?
29°C 49%
32°C or higher 37%
27°C 27%
25°C 26%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
24%
24°C
24%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
27%
28°C
25%
29°C
49%
30°C
11%
31°C
12%
32°C or higher
37%
29°C 49%
32°C or higher 37%
27°C 27%
25°C 26%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
22°C or below
$404 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5 Vol.
24%
24°C
$12 Vol.
24%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
26%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$0 Vol.
25%
29°C
$10 Vol.
49%
30°C
$252 Vol.
11%
31°C
$145 Vol.
12%
32°C or higher
$10 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see near-even odds across 25–28°C as the leading outcomes because short-term forecast models show high uncertainty for Karachi’s minimum temperature on September 1. The primary drivers are variable monsoon withdrawal timing, potential overnight cloud cover that reduces radiative cooling, and the strength of the sea breeze moderating land temperatures. Historical climatology places early-September lows near 26–27°C, but small shifts in humidity, wind speed, or a late coastal shower can easily move the reading by 2–3°C. Updated runs from regional models and Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$838Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see near-even odds across 25–28°C as the leading outcomes because short-term forecast models show high uncertainty for Karachi’s minimum temperature on September 1. The primary drivers are variable monsoon withdrawal timing, potential overnight cloud cover that reduces radiative cooling, and the strength of the sea breeze moderating land temperatures. Historical climatology places early-September lows near 26–27°C, but small shifts in humidity, wind speed, or a late coastal shower can easily move the reading by 2–3°C. Updated runs from regional models and Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$838Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see near-even odds across 25–28°C as the leading outcomes because short-term forecast models show high uncertainty for Karachi’s minimum temperature on September 1. The primary drivers are variable monsoon withdrawal timing, potential overnight cloud cover that reduces radiative cooling, and the strength of the sea breeze moderating land temperatures. Historical climatology places early-September lows near 26–27°C, but small shifts in humidity, wind speed, or a late coastal shower can easily move the reading by 2–3°C. Updated runs from regional models and Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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