**Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF currently indicate a minimum temperature near 17–18°C for Istanbul on September 17, driven by northerly winds, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers expected to moderate overnight cooling.** Recent official updates highlight temperatures running slightly below seasonal norms amid a transition from summer patterns, with dew points and humidity supporting lows in this range rather than sharp drops below 15°C or unusual warmth pushing above 25°C. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, yet small shifts in wind strength, cloud timing, or precipitation intensity could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Trader sentiment reflects this uncertainty, balancing historical September baselines (typically 16–20°C lows) against near-term forecast spreads and upcoming model runs that may refine steering patterns or moisture transport over the next 48 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Estambul el 17 de septiembre?
15°C o menos 92%
25°C o más 92%
16°C 40%
20°C 40%
15°C o menos
92%
16°C
40%
17°C
22%
18°C
22%
19°C
22%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
40%
24°C
40%
25°C o más
92%
15°C o menos 92%
25°C o más 92%
16°C 40%
20°C 40%
15°C o menos
92%
16°C
40%
17°C
22%
18°C
22%
19°C
22%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
40%
24°C
40%
25°C o más
92%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF currently indicate a minimum temperature near 17–18°C for Istanbul on September 17, driven by northerly winds, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers expected to moderate overnight cooling.** Recent official updates highlight temperatures running slightly below seasonal norms amid a transition from summer patterns, with dew points and humidity supporting lows in this range rather than sharp drops below 15°C or unusual warmth pushing above 25°C. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, yet small shifts in wind strength, cloud timing, or precipitation intensity could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Trader sentiment reflects this uncertainty, balancing historical September baselines (typically 16–20°C lows) against near-term forecast spreads and upcoming model runs that may refine steering patterns or moisture transport over the next 48 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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