Recent heavy rainfall across Hong Kong, already exceeding typical July totals with frequent thunderstorms, has increased cloud cover and humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures clustered near 24–26°C. Subtropical summer conditions, including high dew points near 26°C and light winds, further constrain cooling rates according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model forecasts. Seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal temperatures align with climatological July lows around 26–27°C, while modest model spread from possible weak disturbances or clearer breaks introduces the 1–2°C uncertainty reflected in the tight 24–26°C market probabilities. Updated official forecasts through July 26 will refine these near-term drivers.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 26 de julio?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 26 de julio?
25°C 38%
26°C 34%
27°C 21%
24°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 jul 2026
21°C o menos
<1%
22°C
6%
23°C
2%
24°C
12%
25°C
38%
26°C
34%
27°C
21%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C o más
<1%
25°C 38%
26°C 34%
27°C 21%
24°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 jul 2026
21°C o menos
$223 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$32 Vol.
6%
23°C
$163 Vol.
2%
24°C
$340 Vol.
12%
25°C
$354 Vol.
38%
26°C
$190 Vol.
34%
27°C
$93 Vol.
21%
28°C
$93 Vol.
2%
29°C
$271 Vol.
4%
30°C
$125 Vol.
1%
31°C o más
$125 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent heavy rainfall across Hong Kong, already exceeding typical July totals with frequent thunderstorms, has increased cloud cover and humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures clustered near 24–26°C. Subtropical summer conditions, including high dew points near 26°C and light winds, further constrain cooling rates according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model forecasts. Seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal temperatures align with climatological July lows around 26–27°C, while modest model spread from possible weak disturbances or clearer breaks introduces the 1–2°C uncertainty reflected in the tight 24–26°C market probabilities. Updated official forecasts through July 26 will refine these near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Jul 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$2,008Fecha de finalización
26 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent heavy rainfall across Hong Kong, already exceeding typical July totals with frequent thunderstorms, has increased cloud cover and humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures clustered near 24–26°C. Subtropical summer conditions, including high dew points near 26°C and light winds, further constrain cooling rates according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model forecasts. Seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal temperatures align with climatological July lows around 26–27°C, while modest model spread from possible weak disturbances or clearer breaks introduces the 1–2°C uncertainty reflected in the tight 24–26°C market probabilities. Updated official forecasts through July 26 will refine these near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,008Fecha de finalización
26 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rainfall across Hong Kong, already exceeding typical July totals with frequent thunderstorms, has increased cloud cover and humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures clustered near 24–26°C. Subtropical summer conditions, including high dew points near 26°C and light winds, further constrain cooling rates according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model forecasts. Seasonal outlooks for normal-to-above-normal temperatures align with climatological July lows around 26–27°C, while modest model spread from possible weak disturbances or clearer breaks introduces the 1–2°C uncertainty reflected in the tight 24–26°C market probabilities. Updated official forecasts through July 26 will refine these near-term drivers.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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