**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s lowest temperature on August 30 centers overwhelmingly on 10°C (94% implied probability) because multiple forecast models and recent observations converge on an overnight minimum near that threshold under clear skies and moderate southerly flow.** Clear conditions overnight have allowed efficient radiative cooling while persistent SSE winds of 15–25 km/h have limited extreme drops, consistent with typical late-winter patterns where August minima average 8–10°C. Hourly data from sources such as Yr.no and local stations show temperatures falling to the 10–12°C range by early morning before rebounding, with no significant cloud cover or frontal systems to alter the trajectory. A realistic challenge would require stronger-than-expected calm winds or unanticipated clear-air radiative cooling pushing readings to 9°C, or conversely increased low-level moisture or wind mixing holding the low above 11°C; updated model runs or real-time station reports near resolution could still shift the final recorded minimum within the narrow uncertainty band.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Ciudad del Cabo el 30 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Ciudad del Cabo el 30 de agosto?
10°C 89%
8°C 5%
9°C 2%
7°C 2%
$2,028 Vol.
$2,028 Vol.
30 ago 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
2%
8°C
5%
9°C
2%
10°C
89%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
10°C 89%
8°C 5%
9°C 2%
7°C 2%
$2,028 Vol.
$2,028 Vol.
30 ago 2026
6°C or below
$170 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$35 Vol.
2%
8°C
$105 Vol.
5%
9°C
$340 Vol.
2%
10°C
$632 Vol.
89%
11°C
$302 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$255 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$77 Vol.
1%
14°C
$35 Vol.
1%
15°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$46 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s lowest temperature on August 30 centers overwhelmingly on 10°C (94% implied probability) because multiple forecast models and recent observations converge on an overnight minimum near that threshold under clear skies and moderate southerly flow.**
Clear conditions overnight have allowed efficient radiative cooling while persistent SSE winds of 15–25 km/h have limited extreme drops, consistent with typical late-winter patterns where August minima average 8–10°C. Hourly data from sources such as Yr.no and local stations show temperatures falling to the 10–12°C range by early morning before rebounding, with no significant cloud cover or frontal systems to alter the trajectory.
A realistic challenge would require stronger-than-expected calm winds or unanticipated clear-air radiative cooling pushing readings to 9°C, or conversely increased low-level moisture or wind mixing holding the low above 11°C; updated model runs or real-time station reports near resolution could still shift the final recorded minimum within the narrow uncertainty band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$2,028Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s lowest temperature on August 30 centers overwhelmingly on 10°C (94% implied probability) because multiple forecast models and recent observations converge on an overnight minimum near that threshold under clear skies and moderate southerly flow.**
Clear conditions overnight have allowed efficient radiative cooling while persistent SSE winds of 15–25 km/h have limited extreme drops, consistent with typical late-winter patterns where August minima average 8–10°C. Hourly data from sources such as Yr.no and local stations show temperatures falling to the 10–12°C range by early morning before rebounding, with no significant cloud cover or frontal systems to alter the trajectory.
A realistic challenge would require stronger-than-expected calm winds or unanticipated clear-air radiative cooling pushing readings to 9°C, or conversely increased low-level moisture or wind mixing holding the low above 11°C; updated model runs or real-time station reports near resolution could still shift the final recorded minimum within the narrow uncertainty band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,028Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s lowest temperature on August 30 centers overwhelmingly on 10°C (94% implied probability) because multiple forecast models and recent observations converge on an overnight minimum near that threshold under clear skies and moderate southerly flow.** Clear conditions overnight have allowed efficient radiative cooling while persistent SSE winds of 15–25 km/h have limited extreme drops, consistent with typical late-winter patterns where August minima average 8–10°C. Hourly data from sources such as Yr.no and local stations show temperatures falling to the 10–12°C range by early morning before rebounding, with no significant cloud cover or frontal systems to alter the trajectory. A realistic challenge would require stronger-than-expected calm winds or unanticipated clear-air radiative cooling pushing readings to 9°C, or conversely increased low-level moisture or wind mixing holding the low above 11°C; updated model runs or real-time station reports near resolution could still shift the final recorded minimum within the narrow uncertainty band.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes