Recent observational data from Argentine meteorological stations and ensemble forecast models show a pronounced cold air advection over the Buenos Aires region, with surface temperatures already dipping toward or below 6°C during overnight hours under clear skies and light winds that enhance radiative cooling. This positioning aligns with climatological patterns for late August, when polar air intrusions frequently produce minimums in this range, and current model consensus leaves little room for significant warming before the daily low is recorded. Trader consensus at near-certainty reflects this convergence of verified measurements and stable atmospheric conditions. Unusually rapid warming from an unexpected northerly flow or model error in boundary-layer processes could still push the low above 6°C, though such shifts appear improbable given the established synoptic setup.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Buenos Aires el 30 de agosto?
6°C o menos 99.6%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$2,537 Vol.
$2,537 Vol.
6°C o menos
100%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C o más
<1%
6°C o menos 99.6%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$2,537 Vol.
$2,537 Vol.
6°C o menos
100%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent observational data from Argentine meteorological stations and ensemble forecast models show a pronounced cold air advection over the Buenos Aires region, with surface temperatures already dipping toward or below 6°C during overnight hours under clear skies and light winds that enhance radiative cooling. This positioning aligns with climatological patterns for late August, when polar air intrusions frequently produce minimums in this range, and current model consensus leaves little room for significant warming before the daily low is recorded. Trader consensus at near-certainty reflects this convergence of verified measurements and stable atmospheric conditions. Unusually rapid warming from an unexpected northerly flow or model error in boundary-layer processes could still push the low above 6°C, though such shifts appear improbable given the established synoptic setup.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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