Trader sentiment for the August 31–September 6 count of worldwide M5.5+ earthquakes reflects high uncertainty around the typical background rate of roughly 10–15 such events per week, per USGS historical catalogs and Gutenberg-Richter statistics. Recent large events in the Philippines, Indonesia, and South America have generated aftershock sequences that can elevate short-term counts, while overall global seismicity shows no long-term increase and remains within normal fluctuations driven by subduction-zone activity along the Pacific Ring of Fire. Key variables include the timing and magnitude of any new mainshocks, aftershock decay rates, and model consensus on quiet versus active weeks; upcoming USGS weekly summaries and real-time catalogs will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Cuántos terremotos de 5.5 o más en todo el mundo del 31 de agosto al 6 de septiembre?
¿Cuántos terremotos de 5.5 o más en todo el mundo del 31 de agosto al 6 de septiembre?
≤6 25%
8 14%
11 13%
9 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 sep 2026
≤6
25%
7
9%
8
14%
9
13%
10
12%
11
13%
12
9%
13
7%
más de 13
9%
≤6 25%
8 14%
11 13%
9 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 sep 2026
≤6
$333 Vol.
25%
7
$14 Vol.
9%
8
$0 Vol.
14%
9
$0 Vol.
13%
10
$0 Vol.
12%
11
$884 Vol.
13%
12
$0 Vol.
9%
13
$0 Vol.
7%
más de 13
$9 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Trader sentiment for the August 31–September 6 count of worldwide M5.5+ earthquakes reflects high uncertainty around the typical background rate of roughly 10–15 such events per week, per USGS historical catalogs and Gutenberg-Richter statistics. Recent large events in the Philippines, Indonesia, and South America have generated aftershock sequences that can elevate short-term counts, while overall global seismicity shows no long-term increase and remains within normal fluctuations driven by subduction-zone activity along the Pacific Ring of Fire. Key variables include the timing and magnitude of any new mainshocks, aftershock decay rates, and model consensus on quiet versus active weeks; upcoming USGS weekly summaries and real-time catalogs will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 11:01 AM ET
Volumen
$1,240Fecha de finalización
7 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 11:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Trader sentiment for the August 31–September 6 count of worldwide M5.5+ earthquakes reflects high uncertainty around the typical background rate of roughly 10–15 such events per week, per USGS historical catalogs and Gutenberg-Richter statistics. Recent large events in the Philippines, Indonesia, and South America have generated aftershock sequences that can elevate short-term counts, while overall global seismicity shows no long-term increase and remains within normal fluctuations driven by subduction-zone activity along the Pacific Ring of Fire. Key variables include the timing and magnitude of any new mainshocks, aftershock decay rates, and model consensus on quiet versus active weeks; upcoming USGS weekly summaries and real-time catalogs will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volumen
$1,240Fecha de finalización
7 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 11:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for the August 31–September 6 count of worldwide M5.5+ earthquakes reflects high uncertainty around the typical background rate of roughly 10–15 such events per week, per USGS historical catalogs and Gutenberg-Richter statistics. Recent large events in the Philippines, Indonesia, and South America have generated aftershock sequences that can elevate short-term counts, while overall global seismicity shows no long-term increase and remains within normal fluctuations driven by subduction-zone activity along the Pacific Ring of Fire. Key variables include the timing and magnitude of any new mainshocks, aftershock decay rates, and model consensus on quiet versus active weeks; upcoming USGS weekly summaries and real-time catalogs will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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