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icon for Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Holborn y St Pancras
Política·Reino Unido

Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Holborn y St Pancras

icon for Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Holborn y St Pancras
Política·Reino Unido

Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Holborn y St Pancras

Sagal Abdi-Wali 71%

Zack Polanski 25%

Pat Callaghan 2.6%

Gio Spinella 2.6%

Polymarket

$13,928 Vol.

Sagal Abdi-Wali 71%

Zack Polanski 25%

Pat Callaghan 2.6%

Gio Spinella 2.6%

Polymarket

$13,928 Vol.

icon for Sagal Abdi-Wali

Sagal Abdi-Wali

$2,450 Vol.

71%

icon for Zack Polanski

Zack Polanski

$5,258 Vol.

25%

icon for Pat Callaghan

Pat Callaghan

$199 Vol.

3%

icon for Gio Spinella

Gio Spinella

$202 Vol.

3%

icon for Richard Olszewski

Richard Olszewski

$219 Vol.

3%

icon for Andrew Feinstein

Andrew Feinstein

$1,671 Vol.

2%

icon for Hamza Chowdhury

Hamza Chowdhury

$219 Vol.

2%

icon for Tricia Leman

Tricia Leman

$199 Vol.

2%

icon for Sarah Hayward

Sarah Hayward

$181 Vol.

2%

icon for James White

James White

$198 Vol.

2%

icon for Lorna Jane Russell

Lorna Jane Russell

$181 Vol.

1%

icon for Keith Moffitt

Keith Moffitt

$249 Vol.

1%

icon for Luisa Porritt

Luisa Porritt

$199 Vol.

1%

icon for David Stansell

David Stansell

$199 Vol.

1%

icon for Georgia Gould

Georgia Gould

$741 Vol.

1%

icon for Jim Monahan

Jim Monahan

$199 Vol.

1%

icon for Siân Berry

Siân Berry

$187 Vol.

1%

icon for Mehreen Malik

Mehreen Malik

$199 Vol.

1%

icon for Adam Harrison

Adam Harrison

$181 Vol.

1%

icon for Charlie Clinton

Charlie Clinton

$199 Vol.

<1%

icon for Oliver Cooper

Oliver Cooper

$199 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Roberts

David Roberts

$199 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sarah Pochin

Sarah Pochin

$199 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).**Sagal Abdi-Wali leads the market at 71% as the frontrunner for Labour’s nomination in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election, triggered by Keir Starmer’s resignation as MP on 1 September 2026.** Labour has held the seat continuously since 1983, including a comfortable 2024 general election victory, giving the party’s eventual candidate a structural advantage in this traditionally safe constituency. Abdi-Wali, Camden Council leader and a local party ally of Starmer, is widely tipped to secure selection on 9 September after applications closed on 4 September. Zack Polanski, the Green Party leader who announced his candidacy on 3 September, stands at 25% and represents the main challenger; the Greens improved sharply in the May 2026 local elections across the seat’s wards and finished third in 2024. Lower-priced candidates reflect limited prospects or unconfirmed status, while the absence of a confirmed polling date keeps focus on nomination outcomes and early campaign momentum.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
Volumen
$13,928
Fecha de finalización
1 jul 2027
Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).**Sagal Abdi-Wali leads the market at 71% as the frontrunner for Labour’s nomination in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election, triggered by Keir Starmer’s resignation as MP on 1 September 2026.** Labour has held the seat continuously since 1983, including a comfortable 2024 general election victory, giving the party’s eventual candidate a structural advantage in this traditionally safe constituency. Abdi-Wali, Camden Council leader and a local party ally of Starmer, is widely tipped to secure selection on 9 September after applications closed on 4 September. Zack Polanski, the Green Party leader who announced his candidacy on 3 September, stands at 25% and represents the main challenger; the Greens improved sharply in the May 2026 local elections across the seat’s wards and finished third in 2024. Lower-priced candidates reflect limited prospects or unconfirmed status, while the absence of a confirmed polling date keeps focus on nomination outcomes and early campaign momentum.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
Volumen
$13,928
Fecha de finalización
1 jul 2027
Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Holborn y St Pancras" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 23 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Sagal Abdi-Wali" con 71%, seguido de "Zack Polanski" con 25%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 71¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 71% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Holborn y St Pancras" ha generado $13.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Sep 1, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Holborn y St Pancras", explora los 23 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Holborn y St Pancras" es "Sagal Abdi-Wali" con 71%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 71% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Zack Polanski" con 25%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Holborn y St Pancras" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.