**Environment Canada’s official forecast of a 23°C high under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers is the dominant factor anchoring trader sentiment around 22–23°C.** These conditions, with morning temperatures near 19–20°C and limited solar heating, align with real-time observations from Toronto Pearson and suppress readings below the late-August average of roughly 25°C. Multiple forecast models show broad agreement on modest warming before afternoon precipitation, while the absence of clearer skies or stronger southwesterly flow reduces upside risk. Market-implied odds therefore cluster tightly on the most likely observed maximum, with smaller probabilities assigned to 21°C or 24°C reflecting residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized variations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Toronto el 30 de agosto?
22°C 48%
23°C 28%
21°C 13%
24°C 11%
$24,590 Vol.
$24,590 Vol.
17°C o menos
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
13%
22°C
48%
23°C
28%
24°C
11%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C o más
<1%
22°C 48%
23°C 28%
21°C 13%
24°C 11%
$24,590 Vol.
$24,590 Vol.
17°C o menos
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
13%
22°C
48%
23°C
28%
24°C
11%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Environment Canada’s official forecast of a 23°C high under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers is the dominant factor anchoring trader sentiment around 22–23°C.** These conditions, with morning temperatures near 19–20°C and limited solar heating, align with real-time observations from Toronto Pearson and suppress readings below the late-August average of roughly 25°C. Multiple forecast models show broad agreement on modest warming before afternoon precipitation, while the absence of clearer skies or stronger southwesterly flow reduces upside risk. Market-implied odds therefore cluster tightly on the most likely observed maximum, with smaller probabilities assigned to 21°C or 24°C reflecting residual uncertainty in exact peak timing and localized variations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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