KMA short-range forecasts for August 10 project a 34°C maximum at Incheon under mostly cloudy skies with only 10-20% precipitation chance, sustaining the regional heatwave that produced a national record of 42.5°C days earlier. Global and regional models show limited spread around this value, with cloud cover and modest onshore flow the main variables that could cap the peak at 33°C or allow brief spikes to 35°C at the official station. Traders weight the 32–34°C bins most heavily because Incheon observations often run 1–2°C below central Seoul readings during similar late-summer setups, and any overnight model update tightening the diurnal range could shift probabilities quickly before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl (Incheon) el 10 de agosto?
33°C 30%
34°C 26%
32°C 22%
35°C 15%
$14,016 Vol.
$14,016 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
22%
33°C
30%
34°C
26%
35°C
15%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 30%
34°C 26%
32°C 22%
35°C 15%
$14,016 Vol.
$14,016 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
22%
33°C
30%
34°C
26%
35°C
15%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...KMA short-range forecasts for August 10 project a 34°C maximum at Incheon under mostly cloudy skies with only 10-20% precipitation chance, sustaining the regional heatwave that produced a national record of 42.5°C days earlier. Global and regional models show limited spread around this value, with cloud cover and modest onshore flow the main variables that could cap the peak at 33°C or allow brief spikes to 35°C at the official station. Traders weight the 32–34°C bins most heavily because Incheon observations often run 1–2°C below central Seoul readings during similar late-summer setups, and any overnight model update tightening the diurnal range could shift probabilities quickly before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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