Market-implied odds for Seoul's August 10 high temperature cluster tightly around 33–34°C, reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble model consensus that anticipate daytime maxima near those thresholds amid persistent heatwave conditions. High pressure and humid southerly flow are expected to sustain elevated readings, though increasing cloud cover and isolated showers could cap peaks below recent 37–39°C extremes observed earlier in the week. Short-range models show modest spread due to uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any frontal passage, with historical August climatology in the region averaging highs near 30–32°C. Traders are monitoring the next KMA update and refined numerical guidance for shifts that could favor 32°C or 35°C outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl (Incheon) el 10 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl (Incheon) el 10 de agosto?
33°C 42%
34°C 28%
32°C 19%
35°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ago 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
19%
33°C
42%
34°C
28%
35°C
10%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 42%
34°C 28%
32°C 19%
35°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ago 2026
27°C or below
$433 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,081 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$52 Vol.
1%
30°C
$19 Vol.
2%
31°C
$103 Vol.
5%
32°C
$157 Vol.
19%
33°C
$679 Vol.
42%
34°C
$145 Vol.
28%
35°C
$389 Vol.
10%
36°C
$173 Vol.
3%
37°C or higher
$127 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds for Seoul's August 10 high temperature cluster tightly around 33–34°C, reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble model consensus that anticipate daytime maxima near those thresholds amid persistent heatwave conditions. High pressure and humid southerly flow are expected to sustain elevated readings, though increasing cloud cover and isolated showers could cap peaks below recent 37–39°C extremes observed earlier in the week. Short-range models show modest spread due to uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any frontal passage, with historical August climatology in the region averaging highs near 30–32°C. Traders are monitoring the next KMA update and refined numerical guidance for shifts that could favor 32°C or 35°C outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$3,360Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds for Seoul's August 10 high temperature cluster tightly around 33–34°C, reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble model consensus that anticipate daytime maxima near those thresholds amid persistent heatwave conditions. High pressure and humid southerly flow are expected to sustain elevated readings, though increasing cloud cover and isolated showers could cap peaks below recent 37–39°C extremes observed earlier in the week. Short-range models show modest spread due to uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any frontal passage, with historical August climatology in the region averaging highs near 30–32°C. Traders are monitoring the next KMA update and refined numerical guidance for shifts that could favor 32°C or 35°C outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,360Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds for Seoul's August 10 high temperature cluster tightly around 33–34°C, reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble model consensus that anticipate daytime maxima near those thresholds amid persistent heatwave conditions. High pressure and humid southerly flow are expected to sustain elevated readings, though increasing cloud cover and isolated showers could cap peaks below recent 37–39°C extremes observed earlier in the week. Short-range models show modest spread due to uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any frontal passage, with historical August climatology in the region averaging highs near 30–32°C. Traders are monitoring the next KMA update and refined numerical guidance for shifts that could favor 32°C or 35°C outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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