Short-range ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies show near-even odds for Qingdao's August 31 maximum temperature peaking at 30°C or 31°C, with traders assigning 39.5% and 48.5% implied probabilities respectively. Late-summer synoptic patterns, including weakening monsoon influences, variable sea breezes, and modest cloud cover over the Yellow Sea coast, create small uncertainties in boundary-layer heating and urban heat retention. Recent surface observations near 30°C align with historical late-August baselines, while model spread in wind speed and humidity projections keeps outcomes tightly clustered. Updated regional model runs expected overnight will likely narrow the range before daily resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Qingdao el 31 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Qingdao el 31 de agosto?
31°C 49%
30°C 40%
29°C 7%
32°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
25°C o menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
7%
30°C
40%
31°C
49%
32°C
7%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C o más
<1%
31°C 49%
30°C 40%
29°C 7%
32°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
25°C o menos
$389 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$203 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$302 Vol.
1%
28°C
$622 Vol.
2%
29°C
$851 Vol.
7%
30°C
$2,215 Vol.
40%
31°C
$2,482 Vol.
49%
32°C
$402 Vol.
7%
33°C
$240 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$188 Vol.
<1%
35°C o más
$321 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies show near-even odds for Qingdao's August 31 maximum temperature peaking at 30°C or 31°C, with traders assigning 39.5% and 48.5% implied probabilities respectively. Late-summer synoptic patterns, including weakening monsoon influences, variable sea breezes, and modest cloud cover over the Yellow Sea coast, create small uncertainties in boundary-layer heating and urban heat retention. Recent surface observations near 30°C align with historical late-August baselines, while model spread in wind speed and humidity projections keeps outcomes tightly clustered. Updated regional model runs expected overnight will likely narrow the range before daily resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$8,216Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies show near-even odds for Qingdao's August 31 maximum temperature peaking at 30°C or 31°C, with traders assigning 39.5% and 48.5% implied probabilities respectively. Late-summer synoptic patterns, including weakening monsoon influences, variable sea breezes, and modest cloud cover over the Yellow Sea coast, create small uncertainties in boundary-layer heating and urban heat retention. Recent surface observations near 30°C align with historical late-August baselines, while model spread in wind speed and humidity projections keeps outcomes tightly clustered. Updated regional model runs expected overnight will likely narrow the range before daily resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,216Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies show near-even odds for Qingdao's August 31 maximum temperature peaking at 30°C or 31°C, with traders assigning 39.5% and 48.5% implied probabilities respectively. Late-summer synoptic patterns, including weakening monsoon influences, variable sea breezes, and modest cloud cover over the Yellow Sea coast, create small uncertainties in boundary-layer heating and urban heat retention. Recent surface observations near 30°C align with historical late-August baselines, while model spread in wind speed and humidity projections keeps outcomes tightly clustered. Updated regional model runs expected overnight will likely narrow the range before daily resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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