Recent forecasts for Panama City indicate a daytime maximum near 30°C on August 6 amid the wet season, aligning with the market's leading 40% implied probability for that outcome and supporting nearby probabilities for 29–31°C. The Intertropical Convergence Zone sustains persistent cloud cover, afternoon convection, and high humidity that typically caps highs at 29–30°C, close to long-term August averages. Official guidance shows limited model spread for this date, with steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures in the eastern Pacific providing little support for anomalous warming or cooling. Traders appear to price the narrow historical range around the climatological mean while allowing modest upside from brief clear spells. Updated regional model runs and surface observations will refine resolution thresholds as the day progresses.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en la ciudad de Panamá el 6 de agosto?
30°C 40%
29°C 24%
31°C 23%
28°C 8%
25°C o menos
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
8%
29°C
24%
30°C
40%
31°C
23%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C o más
<1%
30°C 40%
29°C 24%
31°C 23%
28°C 8%
25°C o menos
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
8%
29°C
24%
30°C
40%
31°C
23%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Panama City indicate a daytime maximum near 30°C on August 6 amid the wet season, aligning with the market's leading 40% implied probability for that outcome and supporting nearby probabilities for 29–31°C. The Intertropical Convergence Zone sustains persistent cloud cover, afternoon convection, and high humidity that typically caps highs at 29–30°C, close to long-term August averages. Official guidance shows limited model spread for this date, with steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures in the eastern Pacific providing little support for anomalous warming or cooling. Traders appear to price the narrow historical range around the climatological mean while allowing modest upside from brief clear spells. Updated regional model runs and surface observations will refine resolution thresholds as the day progresses.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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