Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) rains enhanced by nearby Tropical Depression Pilandok are driving widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate-to-strong SW winds across Metro Manila, limiting daytime heating and capping maximum temperatures. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple forecast models consistently project highs of 30–32 °C for 31 August, with the highest readings most likely during brief afternoon breaks in the overcast. This aligns with typical late-August climatology under active monsoon conditions, where historical maxima rarely exceed 32 °C when precipitation and cloud fractions remain elevated. Market-implied odds favoring 31–32 °C therefore reflect the current consensus on suppressed insolation and evaporative cooling, with any shift hinging on the next model runs or observed changes in monsoon intensity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 31 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 31 de agosto?
32°C 41%
31°C 36%
33°C 12%
30°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
25°C o menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
11%
31°C
36%
32°C
41%
33°C
12%
34°C
<1%
35°C o más
<1%
32°C 41%
31°C 36%
33°C 12%
30°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
25°C o menos
$223 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$286 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$172 Vol.
1%
28°C
$56 Vol.
2%
29°C
$64 Vol.
4%
30°C
$501 Vol.
11%
31°C
$732 Vol.
36%
32°C
$1,305 Vol.
41%
33°C
$368 Vol.
12%
34°C
$12 Vol.
<1%
35°C o más
$150 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) rains enhanced by nearby Tropical Depression Pilandok are driving widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate-to-strong SW winds across Metro Manila, limiting daytime heating and capping maximum temperatures. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple forecast models consistently project highs of 30–32 °C for 31 August, with the highest readings most likely during brief afternoon breaks in the overcast. This aligns with typical late-August climatology under active monsoon conditions, where historical maxima rarely exceed 32 °C when precipitation and cloud fractions remain elevated. Market-implied odds favoring 31–32 °C therefore reflect the current consensus on suppressed insolation and evaporative cooling, with any shift hinging on the next model runs or observed changes in monsoon intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$3,869Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) rains enhanced by nearby Tropical Depression Pilandok are driving widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate-to-strong SW winds across Metro Manila, limiting daytime heating and capping maximum temperatures. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple forecast models consistently project highs of 30–32 °C for 31 August, with the highest readings most likely during brief afternoon breaks in the overcast. This aligns with typical late-August climatology under active monsoon conditions, where historical maxima rarely exceed 32 °C when precipitation and cloud fractions remain elevated. Market-implied odds favoring 31–32 °C therefore reflect the current consensus on suppressed insolation and evaporative cooling, with any shift hinging on the next model runs or observed changes in monsoon intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,869Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) rains enhanced by nearby Tropical Depression Pilandok are driving widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate-to-strong SW winds across Metro Manila, limiting daytime heating and capping maximum temperatures. Official PAGASA guidance and multiple forecast models consistently project highs of 30–32 °C for 31 August, with the highest readings most likely during brief afternoon breaks in the overcast. This aligns with typical late-August climatology under active monsoon conditions, where historical maxima rarely exceed 32 °C when precipitation and cloud fractions remain elevated. Market-implied odds favoring 31–32 °C therefore reflect the current consensus on suppressed insolation and evaporative cooling, with any shift hinging on the next model runs or observed changes in monsoon intensity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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