National Weather Service forecasts for Denver point to a mostly sunny, hot day on August 11 with a high near 97°F, driving the strong 51% market-implied probability on the 96-97°F bin. Persistent above-normal warmth across the Front Range, supported by recent model runs showing limited cloud cover and light winds, positions this range ahead of cooler or hotter alternatives. Traders are weighing the 21.5% chance on 94-95°F against the 18% on 98-99°F amid minor forecast spread and typical diurnal variability at Denver’s elevation. Above-average August conditions, with normals near 88-90°F, further anchor sentiment around these upper-90s outcomes ahead of final observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Denver el 11 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Denver el 11 de agosto?
96-97°F 50%
94-95°F 24%
98-99°F 21%
92-93°F 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 ago 2026
87°F o menos
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
24%
96-97°F
50%
98-99°F
21%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F o más
<1%
96-97°F 50%
94-95°F 24%
98-99°F 21%
92-93°F 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 ago 2026
87°F o menos
$19 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$10 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$73 Vol.
2%
92-93°F
$127 Vol.
4%
94-95°F
$19 Vol.
24%
96-97°F
$412 Vol.
50%
98-99°F
$50 Vol.
21%
100-101°F
$49 Vol.
3%
102-103°F
$110 Vol.
<1%
104-105°F
$205 Vol.
<1%
106°F o más
$205 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Denver point to a mostly sunny, hot day on August 11 with a high near 97°F, driving the strong 51% market-implied probability on the 96-97°F bin. Persistent above-normal warmth across the Front Range, supported by recent model runs showing limited cloud cover and light winds, positions this range ahead of cooler or hotter alternatives. Traders are weighing the 21.5% chance on 94-95°F against the 18% on 98-99°F amid minor forecast spread and typical diurnal variability at Denver’s elevation. Above-average August conditions, with normals near 88-90°F, further anchor sentiment around these upper-90s outcomes ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volumen
$1,278Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Denver point to a mostly sunny, hot day on August 11 with a high near 97°F, driving the strong 51% market-implied probability on the 96-97°F bin. Persistent above-normal warmth across the Front Range, supported by recent model runs showing limited cloud cover and light winds, positions this range ahead of cooler or hotter alternatives. Traders are weighing the 21.5% chance on 94-95°F against the 18% on 98-99°F amid minor forecast spread and typical diurnal variability at Denver’s elevation. Above-average August conditions, with normals near 88-90°F, further anchor sentiment around these upper-90s outcomes ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,278Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Denver point to a mostly sunny, hot day on August 11 with a high near 97°F, driving the strong 51% market-implied probability on the 96-97°F bin. Persistent above-normal warmth across the Front Range, supported by recent model runs showing limited cloud cover and light winds, positions this range ahead of cooler or hotter alternatives. Traders are weighing the 21.5% chance on 94-95°F against the 18% on 98-99°F amid minor forecast spread and typical diurnal variability at Denver’s elevation. Above-average August conditions, with normals near 88-90°F, further anchor sentiment around these upper-90s outcomes ahead of final observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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