Latest forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a peak of 32–34°C in Beijing on September 5 under mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and low humidity typical of early autumn. Model consensus shows modest daytime heating with minimal cloud cover, though slight variations in timing of maximum insolation or localized urban heat effects could shift the official high between 33°C and 34°C. These closely matched market-implied odds reflect genuine uncertainty in the final hourly observation at the designated station, with new real-time data releases likely to refine trader positioning before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 5 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 5 de septiembre?
33°C 47%
34°C 45%
32°C 9%
35°C 2%
NUEVO
$19,599 Vol.
NUEVO
$19,599 Vol.
5 sep 2026
28°C o menos
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
9%
33°C
47%
34°C
45%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C o más
<1%
33°C 47%
34°C 45%
32°C 9%
35°C 2%
NUEVO
$19,599 Vol.
NUEVO
$19,599 Vol.
5 sep 2026
28°C o menos
$535 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,380 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,555 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,247 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$4,805 Vol.
9%
33°C
$2,012 Vol.
47%
34°C
$2,972 Vol.
45%
35°C
$2,463 Vol.
2%
36°C
$637 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$336 Vol.
<1%
38°C o más
$656 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a peak of 32–34°C in Beijing on September 5 under mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and low humidity typical of early autumn. Model consensus shows modest daytime heating with minimal cloud cover, though slight variations in timing of maximum insolation or localized urban heat effects could shift the official high between 33°C and 34°C. These closely matched market-implied odds reflect genuine uncertainty in the final hourly observation at the designated station, with new real-time data releases likely to refine trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$19,599Fecha de finalización
5 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a peak of 32–34°C in Beijing on September 5 under mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and low humidity typical of early autumn. Model consensus shows modest daytime heating with minimal cloud cover, though slight variations in timing of maximum insolation or localized urban heat effects could shift the official high between 33°C and 34°C. These closely matched market-implied odds reflect genuine uncertainty in the final hourly observation at the designated station, with new real-time data releases likely to refine trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$19,599Fecha de finalización
5 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a peak of 32–34°C in Beijing on September 5 under mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and low humidity typical of early autumn. Model consensus shows modest daytime heating with minimal cloud cover, though slight variations in timing of maximum insolation or localized urban heat effects could shift the official high between 33°C and 34°C. These closely matched market-implied odds reflect genuine uncertainty in the final hourly observation at the designated station, with new real-time data releases likely to refine trader positioning before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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