Forecast models indicate a narrow range of uncertainty for Beijing's August 10 high temperature, driving the near-even market split between 33°C and 34°C as leading outcomes. Ensemble spreads in systems like the GFS and ECMWF reflect subtle differences in high-pressure ridge positioning, boundary-layer moisture, and wind patterns that can alter peak readings by 1–2°C under typical August conditions, when Beijing's urban heat island often adds 1–3°C above regional baselines near 31°C. Current subsidence and limited cloud cover favor the upper end of this range, though any late moisture influx could cap values closer to 32°C. New model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen trader consensus ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 10 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 10 de agosto?
33°C 33%
34°C 29%
32°C 18%
35°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ago 2026
28°C o menos
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
18%
33°C
33%
34°C
29%
35°C
15%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C o más
<1%
33°C 33%
34°C 29%
32°C 18%
35°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ago 2026
28°C o menos
$2,195 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$132 Vol.
1%
30°C
$136 Vol.
2%
31°C
$224 Vol.
5%
32°C
$333 Vol.
18%
33°C
$676 Vol.
33%
34°C
$214 Vol.
29%
35°C
$789 Vol.
15%
36°C
$379 Vol.
5%
37°C
$92 Vol.
1%
38°C o más
$137 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models indicate a narrow range of uncertainty for Beijing's August 10 high temperature, driving the near-even market split between 33°C and 34°C as leading outcomes. Ensemble spreads in systems like the GFS and ECMWF reflect subtle differences in high-pressure ridge positioning, boundary-layer moisture, and wind patterns that can alter peak readings by 1–2°C under typical August conditions, when Beijing's urban heat island often adds 1–3°C above regional baselines near 31°C. Current subsidence and limited cloud cover favor the upper end of this range, though any late moisture influx could cap values closer to 32°C. New model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen trader consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$5,308Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models indicate a narrow range of uncertainty for Beijing's August 10 high temperature, driving the near-even market split between 33°C and 34°C as leading outcomes. Ensemble spreads in systems like the GFS and ECMWF reflect subtle differences in high-pressure ridge positioning, boundary-layer moisture, and wind patterns that can alter peak readings by 1–2°C under typical August conditions, when Beijing's urban heat island often adds 1–3°C above regional baselines near 31°C. Current subsidence and limited cloud cover favor the upper end of this range, though any late moisture influx could cap values closer to 32°C. New model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen trader consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,308Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models indicate a narrow range of uncertainty for Beijing's August 10 high temperature, driving the near-even market split between 33°C and 34°C as leading outcomes. Ensemble spreads in systems like the GFS and ECMWF reflect subtle differences in high-pressure ridge positioning, boundary-layer moisture, and wind patterns that can alter peak readings by 1–2°C under typical August conditions, when Beijing's urban heat island often adds 1–3°C above regional baselines near 31°C. Current subsidence and limited cloud cover favor the upper end of this range, though any late moisture influx could cap values closer to 32°C. New model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen trader consensus ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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