Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and NOAA models positions the highest temperature in Austin on August 11 near the upper 90s to low 100s, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 98-99°F and 100-101°F outcomes. Persistent high pressure and typical late-summer atmospheric patterns across central Texas sustain heat, with historical August averages near 98°F providing climatological context. Recent model runs show modest variability from possible scattered storms or increased cloud cover that could cap peaks, while drier conditions favor slight upward shifts. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range amid standard forecast uncertainty in diurnal heating and boundary-layer moisture.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 11 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 11 de agosto?
98-99°F 56%
100-101°F 36%
102-103°F 6%
96-97°F 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 ago 2026
89°F o menos
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
56%
100-101°F
36%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F o más
<1%
98-99°F 56%
100-101°F 36%
102-103°F 6%
96-97°F 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 ago 2026
89°F o menos
$68 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$148 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$111 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$63 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$131 Vol.
5%
98-99°F
$667 Vol.
56%
100-101°F
$165 Vol.
36%
102-103°F
$69 Vol.
6%
104-105°F
$68 Vol.
2%
106-107°F
$35 Vol.
<1%
108°F o más
$158 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and NOAA models positions the highest temperature in Austin on August 11 near the upper 90s to low 100s, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 98-99°F and 100-101°F outcomes. Persistent high pressure and typical late-summer atmospheric patterns across central Texas sustain heat, with historical August averages near 98°F providing climatological context. Recent model runs show modest variability from possible scattered storms or increased cloud cover that could cap peaks, while drier conditions favor slight upward shifts. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range amid standard forecast uncertainty in diurnal heating and boundary-layer moisture.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volumen
$1,684Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and NOAA models positions the highest temperature in Austin on August 11 near the upper 90s to low 100s, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 98-99°F and 100-101°F outcomes. Persistent high pressure and typical late-summer atmospheric patterns across central Texas sustain heat, with historical August averages near 98°F providing climatological context. Recent model runs show modest variability from possible scattered storms or increased cloud cover that could cap peaks, while drier conditions favor slight upward shifts. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range amid standard forecast uncertainty in diurnal heating and boundary-layer moisture.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,684Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and NOAA models positions the highest temperature in Austin on August 11 near the upper 90s to low 100s, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 98-99°F and 100-101°F outcomes. Persistent high pressure and typical late-summer atmospheric patterns across central Texas sustain heat, with historical August averages near 98°F providing climatological context. Recent model runs show modest variability from possible scattered storms or increased cloud cover that could cap peaks, while drier conditions favor slight upward shifts. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range amid standard forecast uncertainty in diurnal heating and boundary-layer moisture.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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