Recent meteorological forecasts for Ankara indicate a likely daily maximum of 33–34 °C on August 7 under mostly sunny skies and light westerly winds, driving the closely matched market-implied probabilities of 42.5% for 33 °C and 46.0% for 34 °C. These outcomes reflect subtle model variations in predicted boundary-layer mixing, surface heating rates, and any residual moisture from regional flow, within Ankara’s typical continental summer regime at roughly 900 m elevation. Historical August highs average near 32 °C, placing the current outlook slightly above normal but well below extremes. Updated model runs from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF ensembles expected in the next 12–24 hours could shift resolution between these two leading bins if cloud or wind adjustments emerge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ankara el 7 de agosto?
33°C 46%
34°C 46%
35°C 8%
32°C 4%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
4%
33°C
46%
34°C
46%
35°C
8%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 46%
34°C 46%
35°C 8%
32°C 4%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
4%
33°C
46%
34°C
46%
35°C
8%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Ankara indicate a likely daily maximum of 33–34 °C on August 7 under mostly sunny skies and light westerly winds, driving the closely matched market-implied probabilities of 42.5% for 33 °C and 46.0% for 34 °C. These outcomes reflect subtle model variations in predicted boundary-layer mixing, surface heating rates, and any residual moisture from regional flow, within Ankara’s typical continental summer regime at roughly 900 m elevation. Historical August highs average near 32 °C, placing the current outlook slightly above normal but well below extremes. Updated model runs from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF ensembles expected in the next 12–24 hours could shift resolution between these two leading bins if cloud or wind adjustments emerge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes