The EU’s treaty-based institutions, single market, and shared legal obligations among member states create steep procedural and economic barriers to rapid dissolution. Public surveys across multiple countries show overwhelming support for continued membership, with only small minorities favoring reduced integration or exit, while recent national debates in places like Poland and France center on reform models rather than breakup. No coordinated withdrawal movements or acute crises capable of triggering simultaneous exits have materialized in the short window through 2026. Trader consensus at 99%+ for no dissolution reflects these structural realities and historical resilience through prior shocks. Even so, an unforeseen cascade of fiscal collapses, security escalations, or synchronized populist victories could still test timelines, though such paths remain constrained by ratification requirements and interdependence.