**Alabama Senate Election: Turnout** Trader pricing clusters around 1.5–1.7 million total votes because Alabama’s 2026 primaries showed persistently low participation—10.7% in the June runoff and 23% in the May primary—setting a baseline for a low-salience midterm general election. With Republican Barry Moore holding a double-digit lead over Democrat Everett Wess in limited polling and the seat rated safe Republican after Tommy Tuberville’s departure, the contest lacks the intensity that typically drives higher turnout. Alabama’s roughly 3.6 million registered voters have produced comparable midterm totals in prior cycles, but weak Democratic fundraising and the absence of competitive down-ballot races reinforce expectations of middling mobilization. Modest shifts in Republican base enthusiasm or Democratic get-out-the-vote efforts ahead of November 3 remain the main variables that could move the distribution.