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icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Política·Elecciones Globales

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Política·Elecciones Globales

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

$398,309 Vol.

16 abr 2027
Polymarket

$398,309 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$9,197 Vol.

97%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$32,014 Vol.

88%

icon for Nathalie Arthaud

Nathalie Arthaud

$7,144 Vol.

86%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$4,376 Vol.

84%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$17,564 Vol.

84%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$12,178 Vol.

75%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$11,536 Vol.

74%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$10,756 Vol.

68%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$13,486 Vol.

63%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$1,908 Vol.

57%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$16,984 Vol.

39%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$15,999 Vol.

32%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$2,378 Vol.

28%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$11,814 Vol.

26%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$10,752 Vol.

26%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$7,519 Vol.

15%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$30,094 Vol.

15%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$4,312 Vol.

14%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$7,588 Vol.

13%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$26,494 Vol.

12%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$10,624 Vol.

11%

icon for Delphine Batho

Delphine Batho

$1,593 Vol.

8%

icon for Jean-Michel Fauvergue

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

$2,820 Vol.

8%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$10,805 Vol.

7%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$3,548 Vol.

7%

icon for Matthieu Pigasse

Matthieu Pigasse

$13,590 Vol.

7%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$3,031 Vol.

6%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$2,137 Vol.

6%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$2,765 Vol.

6%

icon for Teddy Riner

Teddy Riner

$1,937 Vol.

6%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$1,639 Vol.

5%

icon for Bally Bagayoko

Bally Bagayoko

$7,546 Vol.

5%

icon for Manuel Valls

Manuel Valls

$1,221 Vol.

5%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$6,904 Vol.

5%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$5,235 Vol.

5%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$3,829 Vol.

4%

icon for Philippe de Villiers

Philippe de Villiers

$4,127 Vol.

4%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$4,037 Vol.

4%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$10,873 Vol.

4%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$2,770 Vol.

4%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$1,348 Vol.

4%

icon for Michel-Edouard Leclerc

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

$9,388 Vol.

4%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$21,369 Vol.

3%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$5,891 Vol.

3%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$3,403 Vol.

2%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,786 Vol.

1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's 2027 presidential election, scheduled for April and May, features a two-round system and bars incumbent Emmanuel Macron from a third term, opening the field to a wide range of contenders. Recent polls show Marine Le Pen of Rassemblement National leading first-round voting intentions at 32-36 percent after an appeals court reduced her prior ineligibility sentence in July 2026, enabling her candidacy. Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise follows in most scenarios at 15-17 percent, while center-right figures such as Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal register lower but competitive shares. Over thirty candidates have declared, including Bruno Retailleau of Les Républicains, with a United Left primary set for October 2026 and ongoing party negotiations shaping final ballots amid polarized voter trends.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$398,309
Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2027
Mercado abierto
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's 2027 presidential election, scheduled for April and May, features a two-round system and bars incumbent Emmanuel Macron from a third term, opening the field to a wide range of contenders. Recent polls show Marine Le Pen of Rassemblement National leading first-round voting intentions at 32-36 percent after an appeals court reduced her prior ineligibility sentence in July 2026, enabling her candidacy. Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise follows in most scenarios at 15-17 percent, while center-right figures such as Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal register lower but competitive shares. Over thirty candidates have declared, including Bruno Retailleau of Les Républicains, with a United Left primary set for October 2026 and ongoing party negotiations shaping final ballots amid polarized voter trends.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$398,309
Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2027
Mercado abierto
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 46+ resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" con 97%, seguido de "Marine Le Pen" con 88%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 97¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 97% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" ha generado $398.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 22, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?", explora los 46+ resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" es "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" con 97%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 97% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Marine Le Pen" con 88%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.