Zambia's August 13, 2026, general election produced a confirmed first-round presidential turnout of 57.23 percent among 8.786 million registered voters, placing the result squarely in the 50-60 percent band. Traders have assigned this outcome an implied probability near 88 percent, reflecting the official Electoral Commission of Zambia tally of roughly 5.03 million total ballots cast. The decline from the 70.6 percent recorded in 2021 aligns with patterns of lower participation in some opposition strongholds amid ongoing economic pressures, even as international observers described polling as largely peaceful and orderly. With results finalized and no runoff triggered, the market pricing tracks the verified figures while leaving minimal room for revision unless late adjustments to invalid-ballot counts emerge.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertPräsidentschaftswahl in Sambia 1. Runde: Wahlbeteiligung
50-60 % 92.6%
60-70 % 1.9%
<50 % <1%
70-80 % <1%
$42,600 Vol.
$42,600 Vol.
<50 %
<1%
50-60 %
87%
60-70 %
2%
70-80 %
<1%
80%+
<1%
50-60 % 92.6%
60-70 % 1.9%
<50 % <1%
70-80 % <1%
$42,600 Vol.
$42,600 Vol.
<50 %
<1%
50-60 %
87%
60-70 %
2%
70-80 %
<1%
80%+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
Markt eröffnet: Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Zambia's August 13, 2026, general election produced a confirmed first-round presidential turnout of 57.23 percent among 8.786 million registered voters, placing the result squarely in the 50-60 percent band. Traders have assigned this outcome an implied probability near 88 percent, reflecting the official Electoral Commission of Zambia tally of roughly 5.03 million total ballots cast. The decline from the 70.6 percent recorded in 2021 aligns with patterns of lower participation in some opposition strongholds amid ongoing economic pressures, even as international observers described polling as largely peaceful and orderly. With results finalized and no runoff triggered, the market pricing tracks the verified figures while leaving minimal room for revision unless late adjustments to invalid-ballot counts emerge.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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