James Fishback, a long-shot Republican candidate in the August 18, 2026 Florida gubernatorial primary, faces an uphill path against frontrunner Byron Donalds. Recent polling has placed Fishback in single digits, consistent with limited fundraising and name recognition relative to better-funded opponents. A July court ruling rejected residency challenges and kept him on the ballot, but this has not altered his position as a distant contender. With primary voting underway and results expected shortly, traders are monitoring vote tallies, public statements from the Fishback campaign, and historical patterns of concession timing in lopsided nomination contests. Any post-election address or formal withdrawal could resolve the market, while delayed acknowledgment of results would extend uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNEU
18. Aug. 2026
18. August
57%
19. August
58%
20. August
54%
$204 Vol.
18. August
$4 Vol.
57%
19. August
$200 Vol.
58%
20. August
$0 Vol.
54%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback. James Fishback, a long-shot Republican candidate in the August 18, 2026 Florida gubernatorial primary, faces an uphill path against frontrunner Byron Donalds. Recent polling has placed Fishback in single digits, consistent with limited fundraising and name recognition relative to better-funded opponents. A July court ruling rejected residency challenges and kept him on the ballot, but this has not altered his position as a distant contender. With primary voting underway and results expected shortly, traders are monitoring vote tallies, public statements from the Fishback campaign, and historical patterns of concession timing in lopsided nomination contests. Any post-election address or formal withdrawal could resolve the market, while delayed acknowledgment of results would extend uncertainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback.
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 18, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
Volumen
$204Enddatum
20. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback. James Fishback, a long-shot Republican candidate in the August 18, 2026 Florida gubernatorial primary, faces an uphill path against frontrunner Byron Donalds. Recent polling has placed Fishback in single digits, consistent with limited fundraising and name recognition relative to better-funded opponents. A July court ruling rejected residency challenges and kept him on the ballot, but this has not altered his position as a distant contender. With primary voting underway and results expected shortly, traders are monitoring vote tallies, public statements from the Fishback campaign, and historical patterns of concession timing in lopsided nomination contests. Any post-election address or formal withdrawal could resolve the market, while delayed acknowledgment of results would extend uncertainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if James Fishback concedes in the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback.
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Florida Governor Republican Primary, will not be the Republican Nominee to be Governor of Florida, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from James Fishback.
Volumen
$204Enddatum
20. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...James Fishback, a long-shot Republican candidate in the August 18, 2026 Florida gubernatorial primary, faces an uphill path against frontrunner Byron Donalds. Recent polling has placed Fishback in single digits, consistent with limited fundraising and name recognition relative to better-funded opponents. A July court ruling rejected residency challenges and kept him on the ballot, but this has not altered his position as a distant contender. With primary voting underway and results expected shortly, traders are monitoring vote tallies, public statements from the Fishback campaign, and historical patterns of concession timing in lopsided nomination contests. Any post-election address or formal withdrawal could resolve the market, while delayed acknowledgment of results would extend uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Wird James Fishback 10–15 % der Stimmen in der republikanischen Vorwahl für den Gouverneur von Florida erhalten?
95%
Ja
Wird Byron Donalds die republikanische Gouverneursvorwahl in Florida mit 25–30 % Vorsprung gewinnen?
38%
Ja
Wird der Kandidat der Republikanischen Partei die Gouverneurswahl in Florida 2026 mit 0%-3% Vorsprung gewinnen?
41%
Ja
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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