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icon for Wen wird Trump vor 2027 begnadigen?

Wen wird Trump vor 2027 begnadigen?

icon for Wen wird Trump vor 2027 begnadigen?

Wen wird Trump vor 2027 begnadigen?

$422,601 Vol.

30. Dez. 2026
Polymarket

$422,601 Vol.

Polymarket

Ryan Salame

$29,706 Vol.

24%

Donald Brodie

$1,260 Vol.

22%

Matt Gaetz

$3,870 Vol.

21%

Keonne Rodriguez

$17,190 Vol.

17%

Steve Bannon

$7,813 Vol.

16%

Roger Stone

$3,808 Vol.

15%

Daniel Penny

$447 Vol.

15%

Stefan Brodie

$2,320 Vol.

14%

Roger Ver

$1,234 Vol.

10%

Bob Menendez

$295 Vol.

9%

Joe Exotic

$5,364 Vol.

9%

Eric Adams

$1,058 Vol.

9%

Martin Shkreli

$29,723 Vol.

8%

Julian Assange

$3,062 Vol.

7%

Young Thug

$4,417 Vol.

6%

Ghislaine Maxwell

$22,715 Vol.

6%

Nicolás Maduro

$9,491 Vol.

6%

Sich selbst

$12,576 Vol.

5%

Derek Chauvin

$19,479 Vol.

5%

Edward Snowden

$3,163 Vol.

5%

Elizabeth Holmes

$3,570 Vol.

5%

Sam Bankman-Fried

$128,669 Vol.

4%

Diddy

$26,825 Vol.

4%

Andrew Tate

$236 Vol.

4%

Do Kwon

$23,620 Vol.

4%

Hunter Biden

$5,483 Vol.

3%

Antoine Massey

$2,289 Vol.

2%

Elon Musk

$52,917 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has exercised expansive clemency authority during his second term, issuing a broad proclamation on January 20, 2025, that pardoned or commuted sentences for nearly all January 6 defendants and later extending similar relief in November 2025 to allies tied to 2020 election-related activities, including Rudy Giuliani and Mark Meadows. Additional grants continued through 2026, with batches in January, February, and July covering assorted federal cases and some commemorative actions ahead of the semiquincentennial. These steps reflect standard presidential use of Article II pardon power to address perceived prosecutorial overreach or reward political supporters. Trader focus centers on whether further targeted pardons for specific individuals or categories will occur before the 2027 cutoff, influenced by ongoing DOJ processes, any new investigations, holiday traditions, or administration priorities on reconciliation. Resolution depends on formal White House proclamations or DOJ announcements within the window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$422,601
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has exercised expansive clemency authority during his second term, issuing a broad proclamation on January 20, 2025, that pardoned or commuted sentences for nearly all January 6 defendants and later extending similar relief in November 2025 to allies tied to 2020 election-related activities, including Rudy Giuliani and Mark Meadows. Additional grants continued through 2026, with batches in January, February, and July covering assorted federal cases and some commemorative actions ahead of the semiquincentennial. These steps reflect standard presidential use of Article II pardon power to address perceived prosecutorial overreach or reward political supporters. Trader focus centers on whether further targeted pardons for specific individuals or categories will occur before the 2027 cutoff, influenced by ongoing DOJ processes, any new investigations, holiday traditions, or administration priorities on reconciliation. Resolution depends on formal White House proclamations or DOJ announcements within the window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$422,601
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wen wird Trump vor 2027 begnadigen?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 28 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Ryan Salame" mit 24%, gefolgt von „Donald Brodie" mit 22%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 24¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 24% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Wen wird Trump vor 2027 begnadigen?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $422.6K generiert, seit der Markt am Nov 18, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wen wird Trump vor 2027 begnadigen?" ist „Ryan Salame" mit 24%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 24% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Donald Brodie" mit 22%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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