US-Iran diplomatic efforts remain stalled following the expiration of the June 2026 memorandum of understanding, which set a 60-day window for negotiations on Iran's nuclear program, sanctions relief, and freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. High-level talks in Switzerland that month, involving US Vice President JD Vance and Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf along with Qatari and Pakistani mediators, produced only a roadmap for technical discussions without resolving core disputes. As of mid-August 2026, President Trump has stated that no further talks are scheduled or planned, while Iran has conditioned any resumption on the lifting of US blockades and sanctions. These developments, combined with ongoing regional tensions including Lebanon-related issues, shape trader assessments of whether senior officials from either side will convene before year-end. Scheduled diplomatic channels or third-party mediation could still influence timelines within the resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$304,962 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Steve Witkoff
43%
Jared Kushner
41%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
42%
Abbas Araghchi
34%
Ishaq Dar
31%
J.D. Vance
31%
Kazem Gharibabadi
24%
Nick Stewart
20%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
18%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
17%
Rafael Grossi
16%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
15%
Donald Trump
14%
Marco Rubio
13%
Masoud Pezeshkian
13%
Ahmad Vahidi
11%
Pete Hegseth
9%
Esmail Qaani
7%
Mojtaba Khamenei
5%
$304,962 Vol.
Steve Witkoff
$17,730 Vol.
43%
Jared Kushner
$14,387 Vol.
41%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$11,943 Vol.
42%
Abbas Araghchi
$7,573 Vol.
34%
Ishaq Dar
$17,540 Vol.
31%
J.D. Vance
$20,975 Vol.
31%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$16,478 Vol.
24%
Nick Stewart
$11,128 Vol.
20%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$16,946 Vol.
18%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$29,145 Vol.
17%
Rafael Grossi
$18,288 Vol.
16%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$28,743 Vol.
15%
Donald Trump
$7,456 Vol.
14%
Marco Rubio
$13,311 Vol.
13%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$19,279 Vol.
13%
Ahmad Vahidi
$7,856 Vol.
11%
Pete Hegseth
$15,413 Vol.
9%
Esmail Qaani
$10,890 Vol.
7%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$19,880 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomatic efforts remain stalled following the expiration of the June 2026 memorandum of understanding, which set a 60-day window for negotiations on Iran's nuclear program, sanctions relief, and freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. High-level talks in Switzerland that month, involving US Vice President JD Vance and Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf along with Qatari and Pakistani mediators, produced only a roadmap for technical discussions without resolving core disputes. As of mid-August 2026, President Trump has stated that no further talks are scheduled or planned, while Iran has conditioned any resumption on the lifting of US blockades and sanctions. These developments, combined with ongoing regional tensions including Lebanon-related issues, shape trader assessments of whether senior officials from either side will convene before year-end. Scheduled diplomatic channels or third-party mediation could still influence timelines within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
Volumen
$304,962Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomatic efforts remain stalled following the expiration of the June 2026 memorandum of understanding, which set a 60-day window for negotiations on Iran's nuclear program, sanctions relief, and freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. High-level talks in Switzerland that month, involving US Vice President JD Vance and Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf along with Qatari and Pakistani mediators, produced only a roadmap for technical discussions without resolving core disputes. As of mid-August 2026, President Trump has stated that no further talks are scheduled or planned, while Iran has conditioned any resumption on the lifting of US blockades and sanctions. These developments, combined with ongoing regional tensions including Lebanon-related issues, shape trader assessments of whether senior officials from either side will convene before year-end. Scheduled diplomatic channels or third-party mediation could still influence timelines within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$304,962Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomatic efforts remain stalled following the expiration of the June 2026 memorandum of understanding, which set a 60-day window for negotiations on Iran's nuclear program, sanctions relief, and freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz. High-level talks in Switzerland that month, involving US Vice President JD Vance and Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf along with Qatari and Pakistani mediators, produced only a roadmap for technical discussions without resolving core disputes. As of mid-August 2026, President Trump has stated that no further talks are scheduled or planned, while Iran has conditioned any resumption on the lifting of US blockades and sanctions. These developments, combined with ongoing regional tensions including Lebanon-related issues, shape trader assessments of whether senior officials from either side will convene before year-end. Scheduled diplomatic channels or third-party mediation could still influence timelines within the resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Wird Nick Stewart bis zum 31. August 2026 an einem diplomatischen Treffen zwischen den USA und Iran teilnehmen?
4%
Ja
Wird bis zum 30. September 2026 kein qualifiziertes diplomatisches Treffen zwischen den USA und Iran stattfinden?
75%
Ja
US-amerikanisch-iranisches diplomatisches Treffen bis zum 31. März 2027?
68%
Ja
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