US-Iran diplomacy remains centered on implementing the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which set a 60-day window for a permanent agreement covering the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues following the earlier conflict. As of mid-August, direct high-level meetings have not occurred, with Tehran publicly denying negotiations while pursuing indirect channels through Oman on maritime access and with Pakistan on broader mediation. Washington maintains that technical discussions continue, though recent reporting indicates deadlock over timelines and commitments from the interim accord. Key US figures including envoys and Vice President JD Vance have participated in prior mediated rounds, while Iranian counterparts such as Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf have engaged via third parties. The approaching August 31 deadline leaves limited time for any new round before trader resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$92,968 Vol.
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
28%
Nick Stewart
9%
Abbas Araghchi
7%
Kazem Gharibabadi
7%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
6%
Steve Witkoff
6%
Jared Kushner
5%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
4%
Ishaq Dar
4%
Pete Hegseth
3%
J.D. Vance
3%
Rafael Grossi
2%
Marco Rubio
2%
Donald Trump
2%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
1%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
<1%
$92,968 Vol.
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
28%
Nick Stewart
9%
Abbas Araghchi
7%
Kazem Gharibabadi
7%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
6%
Steve Witkoff
6%
Jared Kushner
5%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
4%
Ishaq Dar
4%
Pete Hegseth
3%
J.D. Vance
3%
Rafael Grossi
2%
Marco Rubio
2%
Donald Trump
2%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Masoud Pezeshkian
1%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
<1%
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomacy remains centered on implementing the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which set a 60-day window for a permanent agreement covering the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues following the earlier conflict. As of mid-August, direct high-level meetings have not occurred, with Tehran publicly denying negotiations while pursuing indirect channels through Oman on maritime access and with Pakistan on broader mediation. Washington maintains that technical discussions continue, though recent reporting indicates deadlock over timelines and commitments from the interim accord. Key US figures including envoys and Vice President JD Vance have participated in prior mediated rounds, while Iranian counterparts such as Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf have engaged via third parties. The approaching August 31 deadline leaves limited time for any new round before trader resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen