Alaska's top-four nonpartisan primary, held August 18, 2026, determines advancement to the November general election under ranked-choice voting. With incumbent Republican Governor Mike Dunleavy barred by term limits, the open race features 17 candidates, including 12 Republicans, two Democrats, and three independents. Partial results from nearly all precincts show Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins leading at 21.7%, followed closely by Democrat Tom Begich at 20.1%, Republican Bernadette Wilson at 10.5%, and Republican Dave Bronson at 8.4%, positioning this group to advance while trailing Republicans like Treg Taylor and Click Bishop fall outside the top four. These early vote shares, reflecting divided Republican support and consolidated Democratic turnout, shape trader assessments of advancement probabilities ahead of final certification.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$270,435 Vol.

Bernadette Wilson
99%

Dave Bronson
81%

Treg Taylor
13%

Destry J. Payne Sr.
8%

Matt Heilala
4%

Adam Crum
4%

Click Bishop
3%

Bill Walker
3%

Shelley Hughes
2%

Bruce Walden
1%

Edna DeVries
1%

Jessica Faircloth
1%

Nancy Dahlstrom
<1%

Hank Kroll
<1%

Matt Claman
<1%

Gregg Brelsford
<1%

James Parkin
<1%

Lesil McGuire
25%
$270,435 Vol.

Bernadette Wilson
99%

Dave Bronson
81%

Treg Taylor
13%

Destry J. Payne Sr.
8%

Matt Heilala
4%

Adam Crum
4%

Click Bishop
3%

Bill Walker
3%

Shelley Hughes
2%

Bruce Walden
1%

Edna DeVries
1%

Jessica Faircloth
1%

Nancy Dahlstrom
<1%

Hank Kroll
<1%

Matt Claman
<1%

Gregg Brelsford
<1%

James Parkin
<1%

Lesil McGuire
25%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Alaska's top-four nonpartisan primary, held August 18, 2026, determines advancement to the November general election under ranked-choice voting. With incumbent Republican Governor Mike Dunleavy barred by term limits, the open race features 17 candidates, including 12 Republicans, two Democrats, and three independents. Partial results from nearly all precincts show Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins leading at 21.7%, followed closely by Democrat Tom Begich at 20.1%, Republican Bernadette Wilson at 10.5%, and Republican Dave Bronson at 8.4%, positioning this group to advance while trailing Republicans like Treg Taylor and Click Bishop fall outside the top four. These early vote shares, reflecting divided Republican support and consolidated Democratic turnout, shape trader assessments of advancement probabilities ahead of final certification.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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