Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene advanced comfortably from Washington's August 4, 2026, top-two primary with roughly 53 percent of the vote against Republican Mary Silva's 26 percent, reflecting the district's consistent Democratic tilt shown in prior cycles. DelBene's established fundraising, name recognition, and role in national party operations reinforce her position heading into the November 3 general election. The seat's voter composition and historical margins limit Republican pathways absent a significant national shift or unforeseen candidate-specific development. Trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to the Democratic nominee given these structural advantages, though late-cycle events such as turnout surges or candidate withdrawals could still alter dynamics within the remaining campaign window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWA-01 Wahlsieger
$43,353 Vol.
$43,353 Vol.
Demokratische Partei
95%
Republikanische Partei
2%
$43,353 Vol.
$43,353 Vol.
Demokratische Partei
95%
Republikanische Partei
2%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene advanced comfortably from Washington's August 4, 2026, top-two primary with roughly 53 percent of the vote against Republican Mary Silva's 26 percent, reflecting the district's consistent Democratic tilt shown in prior cycles. DelBene's established fundraising, name recognition, and role in national party operations reinforce her position heading into the November 3 general election. The seat's voter composition and historical margins limit Republican pathways absent a significant national shift or unforeseen candidate-specific development. Trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to the Democratic nominee given these structural advantages, though late-cycle events such as turnout surges or candidate withdrawals could still alter dynamics within the remaining campaign window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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