Record previews of $72 million have fueled trader consensus around a $162–172 million opening day for Spider-Man: Brand New Day, positioning the film for one of the largest single-day hauls in history. Strong presales, franchise momentum from No Way Home, and premium-format availability continue to support the 65% implied probability on the 167–172 million bucket, while competition from the late-July release window and absence of IMAX screens temper upside beyond 177 million. Recent tracking upgrades and early social buzz differentiate the mid-range outcomes from lower estimates, with the next few days of ticket sales serving as the key swing factor before the August 1–3 debut window locks in results.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" -Eröffnungstag Abendkasse (Höhere Treffer)
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" -Eröffnungstag Abendkasse (Höhere Treffer)
172-177 Mio. 65%
162-167 Mio. 55%
167–172 Mio. 50%
152–157 Mio. 48%
$110 Vol.
$110 Vol.
31. Juli 2026
<152 Mio.
3%
152–157 Mio.
48%
157-162 Mio.
12%
162-167 Mio.
55%
167–172 Mio.
50%
172-177 Mio.
65%
177-182 Mio.
11%
182 Mio.+
11%
172-177 Mio. 65%
162-167 Mio. 55%
167–172 Mio. 50%
152–157 Mio. 48%
$110 Vol.
$110 Vol.
31. Juli 2026
<152 Mio.
$10 Vol.
3%
152–157 Mio.
$0 Vol.
48%
157-162 Mio.
$0 Vol.
12%
162-167 Mio.
$100 Vol.
55%
167–172 Mio.
$0 Vol.
50%
172-177 Mio.
$0 Vol.
65%
177-182 Mio.
$0 Vol.
11%
182 Mio.+
$0 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Daily Box Office will gross domestically on July 31. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for July 31 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Record previews of $72 million have fueled trader consensus around a $162–172 million opening day for Spider-Man: Brand New Day, positioning the film for one of the largest single-day hauls in history. Strong presales, franchise momentum from No Way Home, and premium-format availability continue to support the 65% implied probability on the 167–172 million bucket, while competition from the late-July release window and absence of IMAX screens temper upside beyond 177 million. Recent tracking upgrades and early social buzz differentiate the mid-range outcomes from lower estimates, with the next few days of ticket sales serving as the key swing factor before the August 1–3 debut window locks in results.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Daily Box Office will gross domestically on July 31. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for July 31 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 31, 2026, 11:55 AM ET
Volumen
$110Enddatum
31. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 11:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Daily Box Office will gross domestically on July 31. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for July 31 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Record previews of $72 million have fueled trader consensus around a $162–172 million opening day for Spider-Man: Brand New Day, positioning the film for one of the largest single-day hauls in history. Strong presales, franchise momentum from No Way Home, and premium-format availability continue to support the 65% implied probability on the 167–172 million bucket, while competition from the late-July release window and absence of IMAX screens temper upside beyond 177 million. Recent tracking upgrades and early social buzz differentiate the mid-range outcomes from lower estimates, with the next few days of ticket sales serving as the key swing factor before the August 1–3 debut window locks in results.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Daily Box Office will gross domestically on July 31. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for July 31 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$110Enddatum
31. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 11:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Record previews of $72 million have fueled trader consensus around a $162–172 million opening day for Spider-Man: Brand New Day, positioning the film for one of the largest single-day hauls in history. Strong presales, franchise momentum from No Way Home, and premium-format availability continue to support the 65% implied probability on the 167–172 million bucket, while competition from the late-July release window and absence of IMAX screens temper upside beyond 177 million. Recent tracking upgrades and early social buzz differentiate the mid-range outcomes from lower estimates, with the next few days of ticket sales serving as the key swing factor before the August 1–3 debut window locks in results.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Wird das Eröffnungswochenende von "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" an den Kinokassen mindestens 350 Mio. einspielen?
91%
Ja
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?
50%
Wird das gesamte Inlandsbrutto für Spider-Man: Brand New Day bis zum 31. August zwischen 800 Mio. und 900 Mio. liegen?
59%
Ja
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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