Strong pre-release tracking and robust advance ticket sales for Spider-Man: Brand New Day, the MCU's July 31 theatrical release starring Tom Holland, underpin the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 350-380 million range. Franchise momentum from prior entries, combined with summer blockbuster positioning and extensive marketing, supports elevated expectations, while mixed early critic scores and typical variability in audience word-of-mouth introduce uncertainty about whether totals will push into higher brackets. Upcoming factors include the full three-day domestic results and any swift adjustments from international markets, where historical Spider-Man patterns often influence final tallies. Traders appear to weigh these elements against comparable MCU openings when assessing the competitive bands.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Eröffnungswochenende Abendkasse (noch höhere Treffer)
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Eröffnungswochenende Abendkasse (noch höhere Treffer)
360-370m 50%
370-380m 50%
350-360m 49%
380-390m 49%
NEU
NEU
2. Aug. 2026
<350m
21%
350-360m
49%
360-370m
50%
370-380m
50%
380-390m
49%
390-400m
39%
400-410m
49%
410-420m
22%
420m+
22%
360-370m 50%
370-380m 50%
350-360m 49%
380-390m 49%
NEU
NEU
2. Aug. 2026
<350m
$0 Vol.
21%
350-360m
$0 Vol.
49%
360-370m
$0 Vol.
50%
370-380m
$0 Vol.
50%
380-390m
$0 Vol.
49%
390-400m
$0 Vol.
39%
400-410m
$0 Vol.
49%
410-420m
$21 Vol.
22%
420m+
$41 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong pre-release tracking and robust advance ticket sales for Spider-Man: Brand New Day, the MCU's July 31 theatrical release starring Tom Holland, underpin the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 350-380 million range. Franchise momentum from prior entries, combined with summer blockbuster positioning and extensive marketing, supports elevated expectations, while mixed early critic scores and typical variability in audience word-of-mouth introduce uncertainty about whether totals will push into higher brackets. Upcoming factors include the full three-day domestic results and any swift adjustments from international markets, where historical Spider-Man patterns often influence final tallies. Traders appear to weigh these elements against comparable MCU openings when assessing the competitive bands.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 31, 2026, 4:42 PM ET
Volumen
$62Enddatum
2. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 4:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong pre-release tracking and robust advance ticket sales for Spider-Man: Brand New Day, the MCU's July 31 theatrical release starring Tom Holland, underpin the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 350-380 million range. Franchise momentum from prior entries, combined with summer blockbuster positioning and extensive marketing, supports elevated expectations, while mixed early critic scores and typical variability in audience word-of-mouth introduce uncertainty about whether totals will push into higher brackets. Upcoming factors include the full three-day domestic results and any swift adjustments from international markets, where historical Spider-Man patterns often influence final tallies. Traders appear to weigh these elements against comparable MCU openings when assessing the competitive bands.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$62Enddatum
2. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 31, 2026, 4:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong pre-release tracking and robust advance ticket sales for Spider-Man: Brand New Day, the MCU's July 31 theatrical release starring Tom Holland, underpin the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 350-380 million range. Franchise momentum from prior entries, combined with summer blockbuster positioning and extensive marketing, supports elevated expectations, while mixed early critic scores and typical variability in audience word-of-mouth introduce uncertainty about whether totals will push into higher brackets. Upcoming factors include the full three-day domestic results and any swift adjustments from international markets, where historical Spider-Man patterns often influence final tallies. Traders appear to weigh these elements against comparable MCU openings when assessing the competitive bands.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Wird das Eröffnungswochenende von "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" an den Kinokassen mindestens 350 Mio. einspielen?
91%
Ja
Wird das Eröffnungswochenende-Boxoffice von „Spider-Man: Brand New Day“ mehr als 280 Mio. betragen?
100%
Ja
Wird das gesamte Inlandsbrutto für Spider-Man: Brand New Day bis zum 31. August zwischen 800 Mio. und 900 Mio. liegen?
56%
Ja
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen