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icon for Gewinner der Nachwahl in der Provinz Scarborough Southwest

Gewinner der Nachwahl in der Provinz Scarborough Southwest

icon for Gewinner der Nachwahl in der Provinz Scarborough Southwest

Gewinner der Nachwahl in der Provinz Scarborough Southwest

Ahsanul Hafiz 67%

Fatima Shaban 31%

Noor Tarun <1%

Mark Bekkering <1%

Polymarket

$12,437 Vol.

Ahsanul Hafiz 67%

Fatima Shaban 31%

Noor Tarun <1%

Mark Bekkering <1%

Polymarket

$12,437 Vol.

icon for Ahsanul Hafiz

Ahsanul Hafiz

$4,304 Vol.

67%

icon for Fatima Shaban

Fatima Shaban

$6,377 Vol.

31%

icon for Noor Tarun

Noor Tarun

$570 Vol.

1%

icon for Mark Bekkering

Mark Bekkering

$611 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chris Rees

Chris Rees

$574 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Scarborough Southwest is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).**Ahsanul Hafiz leads trader pricing at 67% in the Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election market ahead of the September 3, 2026 vote, with Fatima Shaban at 31% and all other candidates at or below 1%.** The riding became vacant after NDP MPP Doly Begum resigned in February 2026 to run federally as a Liberal, where she won the concurrent Scarborough Southwest by-election by a wide margin. Hafiz secured the Ontario Liberal nomination in May after defeating Nathaniel Erskine-Smith in a close ranked-ballot contest that survived an appeal. Shaban is the NDP nominee and community organizer seeking to retain the historically NDP-leaning seat, while Noor Tarun represents the Progressive Conservatives and Mark Bekkering the Greens. The market reflects trader assessments of the three-way contest dynamics following candidate nominations and the recent federal result in the overlapping riding.

A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Scarborough Southwest is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
Volumen
$12,437
Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 5:46 AM ET
A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Scarborough Southwest is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Scarborough Southwest is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).**Ahsanul Hafiz leads trader pricing at 67% in the Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election market ahead of the September 3, 2026 vote, with Fatima Shaban at 31% and all other candidates at or below 1%.** The riding became vacant after NDP MPP Doly Begum resigned in February 2026 to run federally as a Liberal, where she won the concurrent Scarborough Southwest by-election by a wide margin. Hafiz secured the Ontario Liberal nomination in May after defeating Nathaniel Erskine-Smith in a close ranked-ballot contest that survived an appeal. Shaban is the NDP nominee and community organizer seeking to retain the historically NDP-leaning seat, while Noor Tarun represents the Progressive Conservatives and Mark Bekkering the Greens. The market reflects trader assessments of the three-way contest dynamics following candidate nominations and the recent federal result in the overlapping riding.

A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Scarborough Southwest is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
Volumen
$12,437
Enddatum
3. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 5:46 AM ET
A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Scarborough Southwest is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Gewinner der Nachwahl in der Provinz Scarborough Southwest" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 5 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Ahsanul Hafiz" mit 67%, gefolgt von „Fatima Shaban" mit 31%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 67¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 67% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Gewinner der Nachwahl in der Provinz Scarborough Southwest" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $12.4K generiert, seit der Markt am Aug 20, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Gewinner der Nachwahl in der Provinz Scarborough Southwest" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 5 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Gewinner der Nachwahl in der Provinz Scarborough Southwest" ist „Ahsanul Hafiz" mit 67%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 67% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Fatima Shaban" mit 31%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Gewinner der Nachwahl in der Provinz Scarborough Southwest" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.