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Gewinner der Präsidentschaftswahl in Peru

icon for Gewinner der Präsidentschaftswahl in Peru

Gewinner der Präsidentschaftswahl in Peru

Keiko Fujimori 60%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 39.3%

Rafael López Aliaga <1%

Carlos Álvarez <1%

Polymarket

$63,940,175 Vol.

Keiko Fujimori 60%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 39.3%

Rafael López Aliaga <1%

Carlos Álvarez <1%

Polymarket

$63,940,175 Vol.

icon for Keiko Fujimori

Keiko Fujimori

$8,313,233 Vol.

60%

icon for Roberto Sánchez Palomino

Roberto Sánchez Palomino

$14,934,491 Vol.

39%

icon for Rafael López Aliaga

Rafael López Aliaga

$13,031,439 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Álvarez

Carlos Álvarez

$7,150,485 Vol.

<1%

icon for César Acuña

César Acuña

$645,994 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vladimir Cerrón

Vladimir Cerrón

$252,942 Vol.

<1%

icon for Roberto Chiabra

Roberto Chiabra

$136,391 Vol.

<1%

icon for Enrique Valderrama

Enrique Valderrama

$266,138 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mesías Guevara

Mesías Guevara

$327,092 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jorge Nieto

Jorge Nieto

$5,777,902 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mario Vizcarra

Mario Vizcarra

$206,758 Vol.

<1%

icon for José Luna

José Luna

$369,848 Vol.

<1%

icon for José Williams

José Williams

$143,207 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fiorella Molinelli

Fiorella Molinelli

$161,253 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fernando Olivera

Fernando Olivera

$472,562 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yonhy Lescano

Yonhy Lescano

$439,432 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alfonso López Chau

Alfonso López Chau

$2,316,296 Vol.

<1%

icon for George Forsyth

George Forsyth

$281,708 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ricardo Belmont

Ricardo Belmont

$4,324,435 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Espá

Carlos Espá

$1,799,734 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

$221,872 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marisol Pérez Tello

Marisol Pérez Tello

$1,689,368 Vol.

<1%

icon for Wolfgang Grozo

Wolfgang Grozo

$703,804 Vol.

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Keiko Fujimori leads trader consensus at 61.5 percent implied probability for Peru’s June 7 presidential runoff after securing first place in the fragmented April first round with 17 percent of valid votes among 35 candidates. Leftist congressman Roberto Sánchez advanced narrowly in second with 12 percent amid logistical disruptions and a prolonged count that confirmed the pair over other contenders. Late-May Ipsos and Datum surveys show Fujimori ahead by three to four points, reflecting consolidation of conservative support and her experience in prior runoffs against Sánchez’s rural and left-leaning base. The two-candidate format and brief campaign window have concentrated probabilities on these frontrunners, while undecided voters and blank ballots remain factors ahead of the vote.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volumen
$63,940,175
Enddatum
12. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) Keiko Fujimori leads trader consensus at 61.5 percent implied probability for Peru’s June 7 presidential runoff after securing first place in the fragmented April first round with 17 percent of valid votes among 35 candidates. Leftist congressman Roberto Sánchez advanced narrowly in second with 12 percent amid logistical disruptions and a prolonged count that confirmed the pair over other contenders. Late-May Ipsos and Datum surveys show Fujimori ahead by three to four points, reflecting consolidation of conservative support and her experience in prior runoffs against Sánchez’s rural and left-leaning base. The two-candidate format and brief campaign window have concentrated probabilities on these frontrunners, while undecided voters and blank ballots remain factors ahead of the vote.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volumen
$63,940,175
Enddatum
12. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Gewinner der Präsidentschaftswahl in Peru" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 23 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Keiko Fujimori" mit 60%, gefolgt von „Roberto Sánchez Palomino" mit 39%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 60¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 60% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Gewinner der Präsidentschaftswahl in Peru" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $63.9 million generiert, seit der Markt am Dec 16, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Gewinner der Präsidentschaftswahl in Peru" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 23 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Gewinner der Präsidentschaftswahl in Peru" ist „Keiko Fujimori" mit 60%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 60% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Roberto Sánchez Palomino" mit 39%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Gewinner der Präsidentschaftswahl in Peru" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.