Incumbent Republican Guy Reschenthaler faces Democrat Alan Bradstock in Pennsylvania’s 14th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+17 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus on the GOP outcome. Reschenthaler’s unopposed primary win and prior reelection by more than 30 points reinforce the solid-R rating from forecasting outlets. With filing deadlines passed and no competitive Democratic fundraising or polling shifts reported since the May primaries, the market pricing aligns with the district’s voting patterns and limited path for an upset. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could alter the race, though such factors remain low-probability given the structural advantages.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertPA-14 Wahlsieger
PA-14 Wahlsieger
$13,135 Vol.
$13,135 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
94%
Demokratische Partei
7%
$13,135 Vol.
$13,135 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$3,577 Vol.
94%
Demokratische Partei
$9,559 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Guy Reschenthaler faces Democrat Alan Bradstock in Pennsylvania’s 14th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+17 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus on the GOP outcome. Reschenthaler’s unopposed primary win and prior reelection by more than 30 points reinforce the solid-R rating from forecasting outlets. With filing deadlines passed and no competitive Democratic fundraising or polling shifts reported since the May primaries, the market pricing aligns with the district’s voting patterns and limited path for an upset. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could alter the race, though such factors remain low-probability given the structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$13,135Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Guy Reschenthaler faces Democrat Alan Bradstock in Pennsylvania’s 14th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+17 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus on the GOP outcome. Reschenthaler’s unopposed primary win and prior reelection by more than 30 points reinforce the solid-R rating from forecasting outlets. With filing deadlines passed and no competitive Democratic fundraising or polling shifts reported since the May primaries, the market pricing aligns with the district’s voting patterns and limited path for an upset. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could alter the race, though such factors remain low-probability given the structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$13,135Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Guy Reschenthaler faces Democrat Alan Bradstock in Pennsylvania’s 14th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+17 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus on the GOP outcome. Reschenthaler’s unopposed primary win and prior reelection by more than 30 points reinforce the solid-R rating from forecasting outlets. With filing deadlines passed and no competitive Democratic fundraising or polling shifts reported since the May primaries, the market pricing aligns with the district’s voting patterns and limited path for an upset. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could alter the race, though such factors remain low-probability given the structural advantages.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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